Tariffs Predictions & Odds· 115 markets
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
$325k Vol.
$17k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months
$325k Vol.$17k Liq.36Ends in 3 months
46%
Yes
Will Congress pass any tariffs by March 31?
$25k Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ends in about 18 hours
$25k Vol.$13k Liq.1Ends in about 18 hours
0%
Yes
U.S. tariff rate on China on March 31?
$1.2m Vol.
$51k Liq.
28
Ends in about 18 hours
$1.2m Vol.$51k Liq.28Ends in about 18 hours
97%
5–15%
Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?
$62k Vol.
$12k Liq.
5
Ends in about 18 hours
$62k Vol.$12k Liq.5Ends in about 18 hours
98%
Yes
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?
$30k Vol.
$14k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$30k Vol.$14k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?
$39k Vol.
$20k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$39k Vol.$20k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
5%
Yes
Will Trump visit China by...?
$17.8m Vol.
$2.4m Liq.
🔥$3.3m today
424
Ends in about 1 month
$17.8m Vol.🔥$3.3m today$2.4m Liq.424Ends in about 1 month
84%
June 30
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by March 31?
$162k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in about 18 hours
$162k Vol.$30k Liq.Ends in about 18 hours
1%
Yes
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$60k Vol.
$14k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
$60k Vol.$14k Liq.5Ends in 3 months
53%
Yes
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
$140k Vol.
$229k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$140k Vol.$229k Liq.Ends in 9 months
26%
Israel
34%
800–900B
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?
$0 Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$0 Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in 3 months
15%
Yes
US x Cuba economic deal by...?
$77k Vol.
$23k Liq.
15
Ends in 3 months
$77k Vol.$23k Liq.15Ends in 3 months
37%
June 30
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?
$409k Vol.
$13k Liq.
25
Ends in about 18 hours
$409k Vol.$13k Liq.25Ends in about 18 hours
0%
Yes
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$18k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$18k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
46%
April 30
50%
Yes
What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?
$74k Vol.
$11k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$74k Vol.$11k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
69%
↓ 0.0014
17%
Isfahan nuclear facility
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?
$595k Vol.
$35k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$595k Vol.$35k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
18%
↑ $4
What will Dow Jones (DJIA) hit in March?
$884 Vol.
$757 Liq.
Ends in 2 days
$884 Vol.$757 Liq.Ends in 2 days
48%
↓ 42600