China Predictions & Odds· 183 markets

Will Trump visit China by...?
$17.9m Vol.
$2.4m Liq.
🔥$3.3m today
424
Ends in about 1 month
$17.9m Vol.🔥$3.3m today$2.4m Liq.424Ends in about 1 month
84%
June 30

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
$14.7m Vol.
$536k Liq.
🔥$359k today
71
Ends in 9 months
$14.7m Vol.🔥$359k today$536k Liq.71Ends in 9 months
10%
Yes

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
$10.6m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
🔥$215k today
Ends in about 18 hours
$10.6m Vol.🔥$215k today$1.8m Liq.Ends in about 18 hours
0%
Yes

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
$1.9m Vol.
$128k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$1.9m Vol.$128k Liq.Ends in 3 months
4%
Yes

U.S. tariff rate on China on March 31?
$1.2m Vol.
$52k Liq.
28
Ends in about 18 hours
$1.2m Vol.$52k Liq.28Ends in about 18 hours
97%
5–15%

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
$107k Vol.
$182k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
$107k Vol.$182k Liq.Ends in 6 months
7%
Yes

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
$1.4m Vol.
$77k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$1.4m Vol.$77k Liq.Ends in 9 months
16%
Yes

China x Japan military clash before 2027?
$514k Vol.
$69k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months
$514k Vol.$69k Liq.31Ends in 9 months
16%
Yes

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$60k Vol.
$14k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
$60k Vol.$14k Liq.5Ends in 3 months
53%
Yes

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
$930k Vol.
$73k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$930k Vol.$73k Liq.Ends in 3 months
7%
Yes

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
$734k Vol.
$38k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$734k Vol.$38k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes

US x China Military clash before 2027?
$52k Vol.
$30k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$52k Vol.$30k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
7%
Yes

China coup attempt before 2027?
$111k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$111k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 9 months
6%
Yes

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
$192k Vol.
$56k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$192k Vol.$56k Liq.Ends in 9 months
22%
Yes

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
$151k Vol.
$203k Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
$151k Vol.$203k Liq.Ends in almost 2 years
21%
Yes

People's Bank of China rate cut by March 31?
$116k Vol.
$4k Liq.
1
Ends in about 18 hours
$116k Vol.$4k Liq.1Ends in about 18 hours
0%
Yes

Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by...?
$15k Vol.
$3k Liq.
16
Ends in 3 months
$15k Vol.$3k Liq.16Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes

28%
-0.4 – 0.0%

Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?
$3.3m Vol.
$146k Liq.
131
Ends in about 18 hours
$3.3m Vol.$146k Liq.131Ends in about 18 hours
2%
Italy
