Trump Iran Predictions & Odds· 192 markets

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
$5.0m Vol.
$44k Liq.
🔥$351k today
Ends in about 18 hours
$5.0m Vol.🔥$351k today$44k Liq.Ends in about 18 hours
6%
Yes

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?
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154
Ends in 3 months
$7.7m Vol.🔥$312k today$302k Liq.154Ends in 3 months
66%
June 30

Military action against Iran ends on...?
$3.0m Vol.
$90k Liq.
🔥$121k today
Ends in about 18 hours
$3.0m Vol.🔥$121k today$90k Liq.Ends in about 18 hours
99%
Military action through March 31

Military action against Iran ends by...?
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Ends in 3 months
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84%
June 30

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
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9
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59%
Pakistan

What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?
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38%
Al Zour Refinery

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?
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98%
Bahrain

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
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Ends in about 1 month
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14%
Yes

Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?
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97%
March 28

Who will enter Iran by June 30?
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4
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9%
Pete Hegseth

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?
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5
Ends in 3 months
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29%
Yes

Military action against Iran ends on...?
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60%
Military action through April 30

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
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29
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15%
Yes

Military action against Iran ends by...?
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52%
April 25

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
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1
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33%
December 31

Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?
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33%
April 30

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?
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28%
April 30

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
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5
Ends in 3 months
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53%
Yes

How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?
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63%
<2

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?
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7
Ends in about 1 month
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8%
June 30