Conflict Predictions & Odds· 118 markets
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?
$52k Vol.
$10k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
$52k Vol.$10k Liq.5Ends in 3 months
29%
Yes
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?
$8.5m Vol.
$450k Liq.
🔥$299k today
320
Ends in about 16 hours
$8.5m Vol.🔥$299k today$450k Liq.320Ends in about 16 hours
80%
December 31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
$29.1m Vol.
$267k Liq.
🔥$217k today
20,363
Ends in about 16 hours
$29.1m Vol.🔥$217k today$267k Liq.20,363Ends in about 16 hours
0%
Yes
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
$1.1m Vol.
$245k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$1.1m Vol.$245k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
3%
Yes
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
$3.7m Vol.
$358k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$3.7m Vol.$358k Liq.Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?
$3.3m Vol.
$146k Liq.
131
Ends in about 16 hours
$3.3m Vol.$146k Liq.131Ends in about 16 hours
2%
Brazil
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31?
$92k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
$92k Vol.$43k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
0%
Yes
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by April 30?
$5k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$5k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
16%
Yes
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
$26k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$26k Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
What will be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (April 5)
$402 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
$402 Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 6 days
83%
People 100+ times
US x Russia military clash by...?
$583k Vol.
$23k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months
$583k Vol.$23k Liq.14Ends in 9 months
10%
December 31, 2026
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
$90k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$90k Vol.$31k Liq.Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
US x China Military clash before 2027?
$52k Vol.
$30k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$52k Vol.$30k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
7%
Yes
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?
$26k Vol.
$27k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$26k Vol.$27k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?
$462k Vol.
$15k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
$462k Vol.$15k Liq.10Ends in 3 months
6%
Yes
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
$1.4m Vol.
$82k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$1.4m Vol.$82k Liq.Ends in 9 months
16%
Yes
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
$60k Vol.
$17k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$60k Vol.$17k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
41%
Yes