Syria Predictions & Odds· 114 markets

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?
$1.7m Vol.
$40k Liq.
33
Ends in 9 months
$1.7m Vol.$40k Liq.33Ends in 9 months
16%
December 31, 2026

18%
June 30

Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
$56k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$56k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 9 months
20%
Yes

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?
$89k Vol.
$55k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$89k Vol.$55k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
11%
Tunisia

U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by...?
$419k Vol.
$13k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$419k Vol.$13k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
28%
Yes

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?
$874k Vol.
$75k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
$874k Vol.$75k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
28%
December 31

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
$90k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$90k Vol.$31k Liq.Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes

Iran military action against ___ by March 31?
$3.6m Vol.
$177k Liq.
🔥$453k today
Ends in about 16 hours
$3.6m Vol.🔥$453k today$177k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
99%
Bahrain

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?
$154k Vol.
$130k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$154k Vol.$130k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
98%
Kuwait

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
$336k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$336k Vol.$44k Liq.Ends in 9 months
29%
Somaliland

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
$178k Vol.
$122k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$178k Vol.$122k Liq.Ends in 9 months
92%
China

Israel strike on Damascus by...?
$166k Vol.
$7k Liq.
32
Ends in about 16 hours
$166k Vol.$7k Liq.32Ends in about 16 hours
7%
Yes

Will Vance visit the Middle East by..?
$97k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$97k Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
22%
April 10

17%
Isfahan nuclear facility

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$14k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$14k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
47%
April 30

47%
Yes

Israel false flag attack confirmed?
$1 Vol.
$141 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$1 Vol.$141 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
50%
Yes

Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$19k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$19k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 4 days
92%
<20

Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$2k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$2k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 8 days
37%
<5

Khamenei # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$24k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$24k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 1 day
97%
<20