Geopolitics Predictions & OddsΒ· 551 markets
US forces enter Iran by..?
$52.2m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
π₯$8.3m today
4,828
$52.2m Vol.π₯$8.3m today$1.3m Liq.4,828
78%
December 31
Netanyahu out by...?
$87.3m Vol.
$5.4m Liq.
π₯$5.6m today
32
Ends in 9 months
$87.3m Vol.π₯$5.6m today$5.4m Liq.32Ends in 9 months
46%
December 31
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of March?
$73.4m Vol.
$4.3m Liq.
π₯$3.1m today
2
Ends in about 18 hours
$73.4m Vol.π₯$3.1m today$4.3m Liq.2Ends in about 18 hours
69%
β $100
US x Iran ceasefire by...?
$62.0m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
π₯$3.0m today
1,219
$62.0m Vol.π₯$3.0m today$1.3m Liq.1,219
74%
December 31
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
$55.6m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
π₯$2.0m today
2
Ends in about 18 hours
$55.6m Vol.π₯$2.0m today$1.5m Liq.2Ends in about 18 hours
0%
Yes
Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?
$2.4m Vol.
$3.8m Liq.
π₯$872k today
1
Ends in about 18 hours
$2.4m Vol.π₯$872k today$3.8m Liq.1Ends in about 18 hours
100%
March 22
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
$9.0m Vol.
$383k Liq.
π₯$558k today
199
Ends in 1 day
$9.0m Vol.π₯$558k today$383k Liq.199Ends in 1 day
46%
June 30
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?
$1.5m Vol.
$56k Liq.
π₯$528k today
Ends in about 18 hours
$1.5m Vol.π₯$528k today$56k Liq.Ends in about 18 hours
96%
0-10
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?
$602k Vol.
$164k Liq.
π₯$529k today
5
Ends in about 1 month
$602k Vol.π₯$529k today$164k Liq.5Ends in about 1 month
44%
United States
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
$12.8m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
π₯$474k today
Ends in about 1 month
$12.8m Vol.π₯$474k today$1.1m Liq.Ends in about 1 month
7%
Yes
Iran military action against ___ by March 31?
$3.6m Vol.
$181k Liq.
π₯$465k today
Ends in about 18 hours
$3.6m Vol.π₯$465k today$181k Liq.Ends in about 18 hours
94%
Bahrain
Iran military action against Israel on...?
$1.9m Vol.
$1.9m Liq.
π₯$454k today
1
Ends in about 18 hours
$1.9m Vol.π₯$454k today$1.9m Liq.1Ends in about 18 hours
98%
March 27
Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by March 31?
$10.9m Vol.
$355k Liq.
π₯$377k today
Ends in about 18 hours
$10.9m Vol.π₯$377k today$355k Liq.Ends in about 18 hours
3%
Saudi Arabia
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
$22.4m Vol.
$987k Liq.
π₯$362k today
3
Ends in 3 months
$22.4m Vol.π₯$362k today$987k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
19%
Yes
Where will Trump and Putin meet next?
$4.6m Vol.
$324k Liq.
π₯$357k today
16
Ends in 3 months
$4.6m Vol.π₯$357k today$324k Liq.16Ends in 3 months
81%
No meeting by June 30
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
$14.7m Vol.
$536k Liq.
π₯$359k today
71
Ends in 9 months
$14.7m Vol.π₯$359k today$536k Liq.71Ends in 9 months
10%
Yes
Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?
$454k Vol.
$245k Liq.
π₯$341k today
Ends in about 1 month
$454k Vol.π₯$341k today$245k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
31%
Saudi Arabia
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
$12.2m Vol.
$606k Liq.
π₯$339k today
291
Ends in 3 months
$12.2m Vol.π₯$339k today$606k Liq.291Ends in 3 months
27%
December 31
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
$5.0m Vol.
$31k Liq.
π₯$354k today
Ends in about 18 hours
$5.0m Vol.π₯$354k today$31k Liq.Ends in about 18 hours
7%
Yes
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?
$7.7m Vol.
$298k Liq.
π₯$320k today
154
Ends in 3 months
$7.7m Vol.π₯$320k today$298k Liq.154Ends in 3 months
67%
June 30