Hormoz Predictions & Odds· 108 markets
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?
$1.5m Vol.
$60k Liq.
🔥$463k today
Ends in about 16 hours
$1.5m Vol.🔥$463k today$60k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
97%
0-10
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?
$321k Vol.
$61k Liq.
🔥$281k today
Ends in 4 days
$321k Vol.🔥$281k today$61k Liq.Ends in 4 days
79%
0-10
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)
$423k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ended
$423k Vol.$38k Liq.Ended
55%
20-24
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
$603k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
$603k Vol.$43k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
6%
20+
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)
$23k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ended
$23k Vol.$14k Liq.Ended
38%
30-34
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?
$11k Vol.
$51k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$11k Vol.$51k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
37%
0-10
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?
$6k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$6k Vol.$24k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
61%
20+
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?
$2.2m Vol.
$106k Liq.
🔥$155k today
116
Ends in about 16 hours
$2.2m Vol.🔥$155k today$106k Liq.116Ends in about 16 hours
31%
April 30
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?
$610k Vol.
$165k Liq.
🔥$527k today
5
Ends in about 1 month
$610k Vol.🔥$527k today$165k Liq.5Ends in about 1 month
40%
United States
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
$1.5m Vol.
$115k Liq.
🔥$57k today
96
Ends in about 1 month
$1.5m Vol.🔥$57k today$115k Liq.96Ends in about 1 month
20%
Yes
Khamenei # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$24k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$24k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 1 day
97%
<20
Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$19k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$19k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 4 days
92%
<20
Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$2k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$2k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 8 days
37%
<5
96%
<20
CZ # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$25k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$25k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in 4 days
72%
<20
How many ships will Iran successfully target by March 31?
$64k Vol.
$38k Liq.
2
Ends in about 16 hours
$64k Vol.$38k Liq.2Ends in about 16 hours
98%
<5
How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?
$13k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$13k Vol.$32k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
65%
<2
Who will enter Iran by June 30?
$204k Vol.
$226k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$204k Vol.$226k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
9%
Pete Hegseth
What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?
$86k Vol.
$118k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$86k Vol.$118k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
38%
Al Zour Refinery
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
$405k Vol.
$42k Liq.
49
Ends in 3 months
$405k Vol.$42k Liq.49Ends in 3 months
81%
Yes