Ships Predictions & Odds· 118 markets
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
$1.5m Vol.
$89k Liq.
🔥$56k today
99
Ends in about 1 month
$1.5m Vol.🔥$56k today$89k Liq.99Ends in about 1 month
20%
Yes
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)
$424k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ended
$424k Vol.$44k Liq.Ended
55%
20-24
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
$603k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ends in about 15 hours
$603k Vol.$42k Liq.Ends in about 15 hours
7%
20+
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)
$24k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ended
$24k Vol.$13k Liq.Ended
37%
30-34
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?
$6k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$6k Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
61%
20+
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?
$1.6m Vol.
$61k Liq.
🔥$391k today
Ends in about 15 hours
$1.6m Vol.🔥$391k today$61k Liq.Ends in about 15 hours
97%
0-10
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?
$324k Vol.
$63k Liq.
🔥$235k today
Ends in 4 days
$324k Vol.🔥$235k today$63k Liq.Ends in 4 days
80%
0-10
How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?
$15k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$15k Vol.$32k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
62%
<2
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?
$11k Vol.
$48k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$11k Vol.$48k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
37%
0-10
How many ships will Iran successfully target by March 31?
$64k Vol.
$37k Liq.
2
Ends in about 15 hours
$64k Vol.$37k Liq.2Ends in about 15 hours
98%
<5
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
$327k Vol.
$92k Liq.
🔥$63k today
30
Ends in about 1 month
$327k Vol.🔥$63k today$92k Liq.30Ends in about 1 month
38%
April 30
1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?
$50k Vol.
$11k Liq.
4
Ends in about 15 hours
$50k Vol.$11k Liq.4Ends in about 15 hours
1%
Yes
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
$129k Vol.
$27k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$129k Vol.$27k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
9%
Yes
Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?
$48k Vol.
$10k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$48k Vol.$10k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
What will Trump say this week? (April 5)
$3k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
$3k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 6 days
84%
Epic Fury
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
$932k Vol.
$72k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$932k Vol.$72k Liq.Ends in 3 months
7%
Yes
47%
Yes
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$12k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$12k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
44%
April 30
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?
$78k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
$78k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 16 days
51%
April 15
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?
$2.2m Vol.
$107k Liq.
🔥$167k today
120
Ends in about 15 hours
$2.2m Vol.🔥$167k today$107k Liq.120Ends in about 15 hours
31%
April 30