Hormuz Predictions & Odds· 126 markets
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
$1.5m Vol.
$80k Liq.
🔥$56k today
95
Ends in about 1 month
$1.5m Vol.🔥$56k today$80k Liq.95Ends in about 1 month
20%
Yes
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
$602k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
$602k Vol.$43k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
6%
20+
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?
$6k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$6k Vol.$24k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
61%
20+
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of March?
$73.8m Vol.
$5.2m Liq.
🔥$3.2m today
2
Ends in about 16 hours
$73.8m Vol.🔥$3.2m today$5.2m Liq.2Ends in about 16 hours
77%
↑ $100
What will Crude Oil (CL) settle at in March?
$1.3m Vol.
$58k Liq.
🔥$226k today
Ends in about 16 hours
$1.3m Vol.🔥$226k today$58k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
98%
$90+
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?
$107k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
$107k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
2%
Yes
Crude Oil (CL) above ___ end of March?
$19k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
$19k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
100%
$48
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?
$609k Vol.
$164k Liq.
🔥$536k today
5
Ends in about 1 month
$609k Vol.🔥$536k today$164k Liq.5Ends in about 1 month
40%
United States
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?
$1.5m Vol.
$59k Liq.
🔥$470k today
Ends in about 16 hours
$1.5m Vol.🔥$470k today$59k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
97%
0-10
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?
$321k Vol.
$62k Liq.
🔥$288k today
Ends in 4 days
$321k Vol.🔥$288k today$62k Liq.Ends in 4 days
79%
0-10
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?
$2.2m Vol.
$105k Liq.
🔥$155k today
116
Ends in about 16 hours
$2.2m Vol.🔥$155k today$105k Liq.116Ends in about 16 hours
31%
April 30
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)
$423k Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ended
$423k Vol.$41k Liq.Ended
55%
20-24
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)
$23k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ended
$23k Vol.$14k Liq.Ended
38%
30-34
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?
$11k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$11k Vol.$52k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
37%
0-10
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?
$22k Vol.
$11k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$22k Vol.$11k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
12%
Yes
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
$9.0m Vol.
$342k Liq.
🔥$551k today
201
Ends in 1 day
$9.0m Vol.🔥$551k today$342k Liq.201Ends in 1 day
43%
June 30
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
$322k Vol.
$94k Liq.
🔥$62k today
30
Ends in about 1 month
$322k Vol.🔥$62k today$94k Liq.30Ends in about 1 month
39%
April 30
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by...?
$706k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
$706k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
38%
April 30
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
$386 Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$386 Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
14%
April 5
Who will enter Iran by June 30?
$204k Vol.
$226k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$204k Vol.$226k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
9%
Pete Hegseth