Outages Predictions & Odds· 115 markets
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?
$22k Vol.
$11k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$22k Vol.$11k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
12%
Yes
Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?
$344k Vol.
$27k Liq.
23
Ends in 3 months
$344k Vol.$27k Liq.23Ends in 3 months
75%
May 31
Critical Discord Incident by April 30?
$1k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$1k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
20%
Yes
AWS service disrupted by April 30?
$698 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$698 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
52%
Yes
ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?
$13k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
$13k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
3%
Yes
AWS service disrupted by March 31?
$13k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
$13k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
4%
Yes
8%
Yes
