Chatgpt Predictions & Odds· 115 markets
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
$45k Vol.
$5k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$45k Vol.$5k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
$3k Vol.
$709 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$3k Vol.$709 Liq.1Ends in 3 months
36%
Yes
OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$18k Vol.
$957 Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$18k Vol.$957 Liq.4Ends in 3 months
56%
60%+
ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?
$13k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
$13k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
3%
Yes
ChatGPT out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?
$752 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
$752 Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 16 days
91%
April 15
8%
Yes
82%
December 31, 2026
Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?
$894 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
$894 Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 16 days
78%
April 15
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?
$14k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
$14k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
98%
ChatGPT
#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?
$5k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
$5k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
92%
Claude by Anthropic
Chatbot Arena: How high will AI score by December 31?
$66k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$66k Vol.$27k Liq.Ends in 9 months
61%
↑ 1550
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
$70k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$70k Vol.$29k Liq.Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$12k Vol.
$66k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$12k Vol.$66k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Anthropic
Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$997k Vol.
$113k Liq.
1
Ends in about 16 hours
$997k Vol.$113k Liq.1Ends in about 16 hours
98%
Anthropic
Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$798k Vol.
$142k Liq.
🔥$158k today
Ends in about 1 month
$798k Vol.🔥$158k today$142k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
84%
Anthropic
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
$5k Vol.
$10k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$5k Vol.$10k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
26%
Yes
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
$1.4m Vol.
$74k Liq.
🔥$199k today
24
Ends in 3 months
$1.4m Vol.🔥$199k today$74k Liq.24Ends in 3 months
30%
OpenAI
Which company has the #2 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$537k Vol.
$119k Liq.
2
Ends in about 16 hours
$537k Vol.$119k Liq.2Ends in about 16 hours
98%
Anthropic
Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)
$475k Vol.
$178k Liq.
22
Ends in 3 months
$475k Vol.$178k Liq.22Ends in 3 months
48%
Anthropic