Gemini 3 Predictions & Odds· 113 markets
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
$30k Vol.
$15k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$30k Vol.$15k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
17%
Yes
Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$49k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$49k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 3 months
95%
40%+
Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
$203k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 18 hours
$203k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in about 18 hours
96%
40%+
Which company has the #3 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$383k Vol.
$67k Liq.
2
Ends in about 18 hours
$383k Vol.$67k Liq.2Ends in about 18 hours
96%
Which company has the best AI model end of March?
$15.8m Vol.
$2.3m Liq.
🔥$287k today
Ends in about 18 hours
$15.8m Vol.🔥$287k today$2.3m Liq.Ends in about 18 hours
100%
Anthropic
Which company has the #2 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$537k Vol.
$70k Liq.
2
Ends in about 18 hours
$537k Vol.$70k Liq.2Ends in about 18 hours
98%
Anthropic
Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$991k Vol.
$111k Liq.
1
Ends in about 18 hours
$991k Vol.$111k Liq.1Ends in about 18 hours
98%
Anthropic
Which company has the second best AI model end of March?
$616k Vol.
$102k Liq.
1
Ends in about 18 hours
$616k Vol.$102k Liq.1Ends in about 18 hours
99%
Anthropic
Which company has the third best AI model end of March?
$521k Vol.
$86k Liq.
Ends in about 18 hours
$521k Vol.$86k Liq.Ends in about 18 hours
99%
Gemini 3.5 released by...?
$803k Vol.
$100k Liq.
49
Ends in 3 months
$803k Vol.$100k Liq.49Ends in 3 months
47%
June 30
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?
$13k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 18 hours
$13k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in about 18 hours
98%
ChatGPT
#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?
$5k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 18 hours
$5k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in about 18 hours
92%
Claude by Anthropic
Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?
$894 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
$894 Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 16 days
82%
April 15
Major Space Weather event this week? (March 29 - April 4)
$1k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$1k Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in 5 days
75%
Yes
Gulf State military action against Iran by...?
$4k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$4k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
28%
April 30
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: Omega vs G2 Ares (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffs
$0 Vol.
$184 Liq.
Ends in about 17 hours
$0 Vol.$184 Liq.Ends in about 17 hours
50%
Omega
Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?
$9k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$9k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
74%
April 9
Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?
$61k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in about 18 hours
$61k Vol.$25k Liq.Ends in about 18 hours
97%
March 28
Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$56k Vol.
$947 Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$56k Vol.$947 Liq.11Ends in 3 months
56%
Yes
48%
June 30