Gemini Predictions & Odds· 115 markets
Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$49k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$49k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 3 months
95%
40%+
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
$30k Vol.
$15k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$30k Vol.$15k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
17%
Yes
Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
$203k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
$203k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
96%
40%+
Gemini 3.5 released by...?
$804k Vol.
$102k Liq.
49
Ends in 3 months
$804k Vol.$102k Liq.49Ends in 3 months
47%
June 30
Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?
$894 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
$894 Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 16 days
78%
April 15
Which company has the best AI model end of March?
$15.8m Vol.
$2.3m Liq.
🔥$280k today
Ends in about 16 hours
$15.8m Vol.🔥$280k today$2.3m Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
100%
Anthropic
Which company has the #2 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$537k Vol.
$120k Liq.
2
Ends in about 16 hours
$537k Vol.$120k Liq.2Ends in about 16 hours
98%
Anthropic
Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$997k Vol.
$112k Liq.
1
Ends in about 16 hours
$997k Vol.$112k Liq.1Ends in about 16 hours
98%
Anthropic
Which company has the #3 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$384k Vol.
$68k Liq.
2
Ends in about 16 hours
$384k Vol.$68k Liq.2Ends in about 16 hours
96%
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?
$14k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
$14k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
98%
ChatGPT
Which company has the second best AI model end of March?
$617k Vol.
$104k Liq.
1
Ends in about 16 hours
$617k Vol.$104k Liq.1Ends in about 16 hours
99%
Anthropic
Which company has the third best AI model end of March?
$521k Vol.
$87k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
$521k Vol.$87k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
99%
#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?
$5k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
$5k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
92%
Claude by Anthropic
48%
Yes
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?
$595k Vol.
$36k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$595k Vol.$36k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
18%
↑ $4
What price will Aster hit in 2026?
$64k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$64k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
72%
↓ 0.40
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$15k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$15k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
47%
April 30
What price will Plasma hit in 2026?
$291k Vol.
$2k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months
$291k Vol.$2k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
52%
↑ 0.50
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$14.0m Vol.
$434k Liq.
255
Ends in 3 months
$14.0m Vol.$434k Liq.255Ends in 3 months
43%
>$600M
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
$52.4m Vol.
$2.3m Liq.
🔥$1.1m today
Ends in 9 months
$52.4m Vol.🔥$1.1m today$2.3m Liq.Ends in 9 months
4%
Yes