Gemini Predictions & Odds· 274 markets
Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$49k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$49k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 3 months
95%
40%+
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
$30k Vol.
$15k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$30k Vol.$15k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
17%
Yes
Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
$203k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$203k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
96%
40%+
Gemini 3.5 released by...?
$806k Vol.
$77k Liq.
49
Ends in 3 months
$806k Vol.$77k Liq.49Ends in 3 months
46%
June 30
Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?
$894 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
$894 Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 16 days
77%
April 15
Which company has the best AI model end of March?
$15.9m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
🔥$260k today
Ends in about 13 hours
$15.9m Vol.🔥$260k today$1.8m Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
100%
Anthropic
Which company has the #2 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$542k Vol.
$121k Liq.
2
Ends in about 13 hours
$542k Vol.$121k Liq.2Ends in about 13 hours
98%
Anthropic
Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$1.0m Vol.
$114k Liq.
1
Ends in about 13 hours
$1.0m Vol.$114k Liq.1Ends in about 13 hours
98%
Anthropic
Which company has the #3 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$384k Vol.
$68k Liq.
2
Ends in about 13 hours
$384k Vol.$68k Liq.2Ends in about 13 hours
96%
Which company has the third best AI model end of March?
$525k Vol.
$95k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$525k Vol.$95k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
99%
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?
$15k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$15k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
98%
ChatGPT
Which company has the second best AI model end of March?
$620k Vol.
$106k Liq.
1
Ends in about 13 hours
$620k Vol.$106k Liq.1Ends in about 13 hours
99%
Anthropic
#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?
$5k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$5k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
93%
Claude by Anthropic
Crypto
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?
$7k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
86%
50
47%
Yes
gemini · images
Will Gemini generate images of people again in February?
$34k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$34k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
No
Gemini 3 score on FrontierMath Benchmark by January 31?
$2.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
$2.0m Vol.$0 Liq.1Ended
40%+
Sora by OpenAI
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?
$1.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
35
Ended
$1.2m Vol.$0 Liq.35Ended
Sora by OpenAI
