Science Predictions & Odds· 175 markets
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
$21.7m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$207k today
815
Ends in 9 months
$21.7m Vol.🔥$207k today$1.3m Liq.815Ends in 9 months
17%
December 31
Rewards 20, 4.5, 50 · earthquake
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 23 - March 29?
$260k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ended
$260k Vol.$14k Liq.Ended
100%
2
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
$7.5m Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$7.5m Vol.$37k Liq.Ends in 9 months
98%
↑2k
NASA Artemis II
$696k Vol.
$26k Liq.
94
Ends in about 18 hours
$696k Vol.$26k Liq.94Ends in about 18 hours
79%
April 30
Measles · Pandemics
Measles cases in U.S. by April 30?
$27k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$27k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
90%
1800
Measles cases in U.S. by March 31?
$383k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 18 hours
$383k Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in about 18 hours
0%
1600
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
$1.1m Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$1.1m Vol.$35k Liq.Ends in 9 months
28%
11–13
Precipitation in Seattle in March?
$320k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 18 hours
$320k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in about 18 hours
94%
5-6"
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
$666k Vol.
$20k Liq.
9
Ends in about 1 year
$666k Vol.$20k Liq.9Ends in about 1 year
43%
1
Earthquakes · Science
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 30 - April 5?
$16k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
$16k Vol.$25k Liq.Ends in 6 days
52%
0
Precipitation in NYC in March?
$170k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 18 hours
$170k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in about 18 hours
91%
3-4"
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
$346k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$346k Vol.$26k Liq.Ends in 9 months
38%
5-6
March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
$207k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
$207k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in 11 days
43%
1.25–1.29ºC
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
$2.4m Vol.
$122k Liq.
19
Ends in 9 months
$2.4m Vol.$122k Liq.19Ends in 9 months
46%
2
How many Tornadoes in the US in March?
$158k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
$158k Vol.$25k Liq.Ends in 11 days
100%
150+
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
$1.6m Vol.
$256k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$1.6m Vol.$256k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
90%
SpaceX
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?
$25k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
$25k Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in 2 months
88%
May 31
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?
$363k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
$363k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 4 months
81%
Hong Wang
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
$113k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$113k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes