Space Predictions & Odds· 171 markets
Major Space Weather event this week? (March 29 - April 4)
$1k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$1k Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in 5 days
75%
Yes
Space FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$447k Vol.
$80k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months
$447k Vol.$80k Liq.31Ends in 9 months
69%
$5M
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
$346k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$346k Vol.$26k Liq.Ends in 9 months
38%
5-6
SpaceX IPO by ___ ?
$628k Vol.
$318k Liq.
🔥$98k today
11
Ends in 9 months
$628k Vol.🔥$98k today$318k Liq.11Ends in 9 months
93%
December 31
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
$139k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$139k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes
43%
Yes
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
$102k Vol.
$11k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$102k Vol.$11k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
$57k Vol.
$4k Liq.
1
Ends in almost 2 years
$57k Vol.$4k Liq.1Ends in almost 2 years
96%
SpaceX
52%
1.5T-2.0T
NASA Artemis II
$696k Vol.
$26k Liq.
94
Ends in about 18 hours
$696k Vol.$26k Liq.94Ends in about 18 hours
79%
April 30
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
$1.6m Vol.
$256k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$1.6m Vol.$256k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
90%
SpaceX
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)
$645k Vol.
$94k Liq.
8
Ends in almost 2 years
$645k Vol.$94k Liq.8Ends in almost 2 years
46%
2.0T+
26%
70-80B
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?
$706k Vol.
$43k Liq.
25
Ends in 9 months
$706k Vol.$43k Liq.25Ends in 9 months
6%
Yes
30%
Yes
How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
$244k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$244k Vol.$31k Liq.Ends in 9 months
34%
160-179