Climate Science Predictions & Odds· 146 markets
What will SpaceX's public ticker be?
$3.9m Vol.
$180k Liq.
🔥$103k today
170
Ends in almost 2 years
$3.9m Vol.🔥$103k today$180k Liq.170Ends in almost 2 years
62%
Other
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)
$2.9m Vol.
$221k Liq.
🔥$75k today
43
Ends in almost 2 years
$2.9m Vol.🔥$75k today$221k Liq.43Ends in almost 2 years
94%
1T+
Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?
$1.2m Vol.
$91k Liq.
15
Ends in almost 2 years
$1.2m Vol.$91k Liq.15Ends in almost 2 years
35%
Goldman Sachs
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
$7.5m Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$7.5m Vol.$35k Liq.Ends in 9 months
98%
↑2k
NASA Artemis II
$696k Vol.
$26k Liq.
94
Ends in about 18 hours
$696k Vol.$26k Liq.94Ends in about 18 hours
79%
April 30
Measles cases in U.S. by March 31?
$383k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in about 18 hours
$383k Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in about 18 hours
0%
1600
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
$1.1m Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$1.1m Vol.$34k Liq.Ends in 9 months
28%
11–13
Precipitation in Seattle in March?
$320k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 18 hours
$320k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in about 18 hours
94%
5-6"
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
$666k Vol.
$19k Liq.
9
Ends in about 1 year
$666k Vol.$19k Liq.9Ends in about 1 year
43%
1
Precipitation in Seoul in March?
$32k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 18 hours
$32k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 18 hours
54%
40-45mm
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
$891k Vol.
$122k Liq.
17
Ends in almost 2 years
$891k Vol.$122k Liq.17Ends in almost 2 years
94%
>$1T
Precipitation in NYC in March?
$170k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 18 hours
$170k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in about 18 hours
91%
3-4"
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
$346k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$346k Vol.$26k Liq.Ends in 9 months
38%
5-6
March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
$207k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
$207k Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in 11 days
43%
1.25–1.29ºC
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
$2.4m Vol.
$120k Liq.
19
Ends in 9 months
$2.4m Vol.$120k Liq.19Ends in 9 months
46%
2
How many Tornadoes in the US in March?
$158k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
$158k Vol.$26k Liq.Ends in 11 days
100%
150+
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
$1.6m Vol.
$256k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$1.6m Vol.$256k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
90%
SpaceX
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
$113k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$113k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
$309k Vol.
$8k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$309k Vol.$8k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
39%
Yes