Iranian Leadership Regime Predictions & Odds· 125 markets
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
$55.6m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$2.0m today
2
Ends in about 18 hours
$55.6m Vol.🔥$2.0m today$1.5m Liq.2Ends in about 18 hours
0%
Yes
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
$9.0m Vol.
$383k Liq.
🔥$558k today
201
Ends in 1 day
$9.0m Vol.🔥$558k today$383k Liq.201Ends in 1 day
46%
June 30
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
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$1.1m Liq.
🔥$474k today
Ends in about 1 month
$12.8m Vol.🔥$474k today$1.1m Liq.Ends in about 1 month
7%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
$22.4m Vol.
$987k Liq.
🔥$362k today
3
Ends in 3 months
$22.4m Vol.🔥$362k today$987k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
19%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$12.1m Vol.
$560k Liq.
🔥$193k today
10
Ends in 9 months
$12.1m Vol.🔥$193k today$560k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
36%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
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$36k Liq.
49
Ends in 3 months
$405k Vol.$36k Liq.49Ends in 3 months
81%
Yes
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$28k Vol.
$12k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$28k Vol.$12k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
33%
Leadership Change
Iran leadership change by...?
$5.2m Vol.
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🔥$113k today
884
Ends in 9 months
$5.2m Vol.🔥$113k today$207k Liq.884Ends in 9 months
54%
December 31
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
$12.2m Vol.
$606k Liq.
🔥$339k today
291
Ends in 3 months
$12.2m Vol.🔥$339k today$606k Liq.291Ends in 3 months
27%
December 31
Iran leader end of 2026?
$5.6m Vol.
$965k Liq.
70
Ends in 9 months
$5.6m Vol.$965k Liq.70Ends in 9 months
45%
Mojtaba Khamenei
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?
$731k Vol.
$107k Liq.
61
Ends in about 1 month
$731k Vol.$107k Liq.61Ends in about 1 month
9%
June 30
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
$841k Vol.
$118k Liq.
29
Ends in 9 months
$841k Vol.$118k Liq.29Ends in 9 months
15%
Yes
Middle East · Iran Regime
Internet Access restored in Iran by...?
$100k Vol.
$14k Liq.
27
Ends in about 1 month
$100k Vol.$14k Liq.27Ends in about 1 month
17%
April 30
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
$339k Vol.
$19k Liq.
18
Ends in 3 months
$339k Vol.$19k Liq.18Ends in 3 months
21%
Yes
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
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$21k Liq.
Ends in about 18 hours
$97k Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in about 18 hours
3%
March 30
How many ships will Iran successfully target by March 31?
$64k Vol.
$35k Liq.
2
Ends in about 18 hours
$64k Vol.$35k Liq.2Ends in about 18 hours
98%
<5
US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?
$232k Vol.
$17k Liq.
10
Ends in about 1 month
$232k Vol.$17k Liq.10Ends in about 1 month
8%
April 30
Kurds declare independence from Iran?
$108k Vol.
$28k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$108k Vol.$28k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?
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$22k Liq.
1
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$186k Vol.$22k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
7%
Yes
US announces military support of Kurds by...?
$482k Vol.
$11k Liq.
39
Ends in about 1 month
$482k Vol.$11k Liq.39Ends in about 1 month
15%
April 30