Strait Of Hormuz Predictions & Odds· 116 markets
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?
$602k Vol.
$164k Liq.
🔥$529k today
5
Ends in about 1 month
$602k Vol.🔥$529k today$164k Liq.5Ends in about 1 month
44%
United States
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?
$1.5m Vol.
$56k Liq.
🔥$528k today
Ends in about 18 hours
$1.5m Vol.🔥$528k today$56k Liq.Ends in about 18 hours
96%
0-10
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?
$321k Vol.
$64k Liq.
🔥$287k today
Ends in 4 days
$321k Vol.🔥$287k today$64k Liq.Ends in 4 days
79%
0-10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
$1.5m Vol.
$106k Liq.
95
Ends in about 1 month
$1.5m Vol.$106k Liq.95Ends in about 1 month
21%
Yes
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)
$423k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ended
$423k Vol.$43k Liq.Ended
54%
20-24
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
$599k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ends in about 18 hours
$599k Vol.$42k Liq.Ends in about 18 hours
7%
20+
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)
$23k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ended
$23k Vol.$14k Liq.Ended
47%
30-34
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?
$10k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$10k Vol.$43k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
41%
0-10
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?
$6k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$6k Vol.$26k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
60%
20+
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?
$2.2m Vol.
$98k Liq.
🔥$159k today
116
Ends in about 18 hours
$2.2m Vol.🔥$159k today$98k Liq.116Ends in about 18 hours
32%
April 30
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?
$22k Vol.
$11k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$22k Vol.$11k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
12%
Yes
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
$318k Vol.
$105k Liq.
🔥$61k today
30
Ends in about 1 month
$318k Vol.🔥$61k today$105k Liq.30Ends in about 1 month
37%
April 30
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
$9.0m Vol.
$383k Liq.
🔥$558k today
201
Ends in 1 day
$9.0m Vol.🔥$558k today$383k Liq.201Ends in 1 day
46%
June 30
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?
$107k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 18 hours
$107k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in about 18 hours
2%
Yes
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by...?
$705k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 18 hours
$705k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in about 18 hours
38%
April 30
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$18k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$18k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
46%
April 30
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?
$78k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
$78k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 16 days
51%
April 15
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
$386 Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$386 Vol.$24k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
16%
April 10
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
$97k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in about 18 hours
$97k Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in about 18 hours
3%
March 30
How many ships will Iran successfully target by March 31?
$64k Vol.
$35k Liq.
2
Ends in about 18 hours
$64k Vol.$35k Liq.2Ends in about 18 hours
98%
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