Transit Predictions & Odds· 135 markets
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
$1.5m Vol.
$115k Liq.
🔥$56k today
95
Ends in about 1 month
$1.5m Vol.🔥$56k today$115k Liq.95Ends in about 1 month
20%
Yes
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)
$423k Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ended
$423k Vol.$41k Liq.Ended
56%
20-24
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
$602k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
$602k Vol.$43k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
6%
20+
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)
$23k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ended
$23k Vol.$14k Liq.Ended
38%
30-34
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?
$6k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$6k Vol.$24k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
61%
20+
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?
$610k Vol.
$165k Liq.
🔥$532k today
5
Ends in about 1 month
$610k Vol.🔥$532k today$165k Liq.5Ends in about 1 month
40%
United States
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?
$1.5m Vol.
$59k Liq.
🔥$470k today
Ends in about 16 hours
$1.5m Vol.🔥$470k today$59k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
97%
0-10
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?
$321k Vol.
$62k Liq.
🔥$281k today
Ends in 4 days
$321k Vol.🔥$281k today$62k Liq.Ends in 4 days
79%
0-10
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?
$2.2m Vol.
$105k Liq.
🔥$155k today
116
Ends in about 16 hours
$2.2m Vol.🔥$155k today$105k Liq.116Ends in about 16 hours
31%
April 30
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
$322k Vol.
$94k Liq.
🔥$62k today
30
Ends in about 1 month
$322k Vol.🔥$62k today$94k Liq.30Ends in about 1 month
39%
April 30
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?
$11k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$11k Vol.$52k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
37%
0-10
Will Mamdani make NYC buses free by March 31?
$73k Vol.
$11k Liq.
3
Ends in about 16 hours
$73k Vol.$11k Liq.3Ends in about 16 hours
0%
Yes
1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?
$50k Vol.
$12k Liq.
4
Ends in about 16 hours
$50k Vol.$12k Liq.4Ends in about 16 hours
1%
Yes
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
$129k Vol.
$28k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$129k Vol.$28k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
9%
Yes
Israel military action against Beirut on...?
$113k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
$113k Vol.$34k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
94%
March 30
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
$841k Vol.
$119k Liq.
29
Ends in 9 months
$841k Vol.$119k Liq.29Ends in 9 months
15%
Yes
34%
Yes
Israel military action against Beirut on...?
$33k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$33k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
72%
April 1
Will Prince Andrew record an interview by March 31?
$2k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
$2k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
2%
Yes
Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?
$293 Vol.
$555 Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$293 Vol.$555 Liq.Ends in 7 months
15%
Yes