Arrest Predictions & Odds· 159 markets
Will Prince Andrew record an interview by March 31?
$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$2k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
2%
Yes
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?
$24k Vol.
$10k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$24k Vol.$10k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
20%
Yes
Eric Adams arrested by March 31?
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$15k Liq.
2
Ends in about 13 hours
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0%
Yes
Netanyahu arrested by March 31?
$136k Vol.
$16k Liq.
4
Ends in about 13 hours
$136k Vol.$16k Liq.4Ends in about 13 hours
0%
Yes
Les Wexner arrested by March 31?
$20k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$20k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
0%
Yes
5%
Yes
José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?
$144k Vol.
$10k Liq.
32
Ends in about 13 hours
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0%
Yes
Jerome Powell arrested by March 31?
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1
Ends in about 13 hours
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0%
Yes
Yoon out of custody by March 31?
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Ends in about 13 hours
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0%
Yes
SBF released from custody in 2026?
$309k Vol.
$33k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
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11%
Yes
15%
Yes
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
$46k Vol.
$25k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$46k Vol.$25k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes
Stefon Diggs arrested by March 31?
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$820 Liq.
2
Ends in about 13 hours
$69k Vol.$820 Liq.2Ends in about 13 hours
1%
Yes
2%
Yes
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?
$39k Vol.
$11k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$39k Vol.$11k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
56%
Yes
Geopolitics · Politics
Nicolas Sarkozy in jail by March 31?
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Ends in about 13 hours
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0%
Yes
Either Tate brother arrested by...?
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$3k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
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23%
June 30
10%
Yes
14%
Yes
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
$37k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$37k Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes