Arrest Predictions & Odds· 461 markets
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?
$26k Vol.
$8k Liq.
3
Ends in 30 days
$26k Vol.$8k Liq.3Ends in 30 days
14%
Yes
Who will Sabrina Carpenter arrest at Coachella?
$0 Vol.
$647 Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$0 Vol.$647 Liq.Ends in 30 days
42%
Billie Eilish
0%
Yes
6%
Yes
0%
Yes
José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?
$145k Vol.
$8k Liq.
32
Ended
$145k Vol.$8k Liq.32Ended
0%
Yes
Geopolitics · Politics
Nicolas Sarkozy in jail by March 31?
$59k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ended
$59k Vol.$17k Liq.Ended
0%
Yes
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?
$40k Vol.
$11k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$40k Vol.$11k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
57%
Yes
0%
Yes
SBF released from custody in 2026?
$309k Vol.
$37k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$309k Vol.$37k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
11%
Yes
15%
Yes
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
$46k Vol.
$16k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$46k Vol.$16k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes
0%
Yes
Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?
$5k Vol.
$10k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$5k Vol.$10k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
7%
Yes
7%
Yes