Detain Predictions & Odds· 273 markets
Les Wexner arrested by March 31?
$20k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 15 hours
$20k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in about 15 hours
0%
Yes
Iran leadership change by...?
$5.2m Vol.
$206k Liq.
🔥$129k today
885
Ends in 9 months
$5.2m Vol.🔥$129k today$206k Liq.885Ends in 9 months
54%
December 31
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
$7.6m Vol.
$173k Liq.
705
Ends in 9 months
$7.6m Vol.$173k Liq.705Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?
$107k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 15 hours
$107k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in about 15 hours
2%
Yes
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
$3.2m Vol.
$219k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3.2m Vol.$219k Liq.Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
$299k Vol.
$38k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$299k Vol.$38k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes
Eric Adams arrested by March 31?
$15k Vol.
$17k Liq.
2
Ends in about 15 hours
$15k Vol.$17k Liq.2Ends in about 15 hours
0%
Yes
Maduro exiled to Russia by March 31?
$171k Vol.
$16k Liq.
6
Ends in about 15 hours
$171k Vol.$16k Liq.6Ends in about 15 hours
0%
Yes
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?
$7k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$7k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
27%
April 30
Netanyahu arrested by March 31?
$136k Vol.
$16k Liq.
4
Ends in about 15 hours
$136k Vol.$16k Liq.4Ends in about 15 hours
0%
Yes
Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by March 31, 2026?
$132k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 15 hours
$132k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in about 15 hours
0%
Yes
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?
$900k Vol.
$48k Liq.
46
Ends in 3 months
$900k Vol.$48k Liq.46Ends in 3 months
59%
December 31
Geopolitics · World
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
$1.7m Vol.
$59k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$1.7m Vol.$59k Liq.Ends in 3 months
3%
Yes
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?
$8k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
$8k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 16 days
31%
Yes
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
$1.0m Vol.
$110k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$1.0m Vol.$110k Liq.Ends in 3 months
4%
Yes
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by...?
$155k Vol.
$35k Liq.
49
Ends in 9 months
$155k Vol.$35k Liq.49Ends in 9 months
28%
December 31
Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?
$493k Vol.
$58k Liq.
29
Ends in 9 months
$493k Vol.$58k Liq.29Ends in 9 months
38%
December 31
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
$389k Vol.
$12k Liq.
16
Ends in about 15 hours
$389k Vol.$12k Liq.16Ends in about 15 hours
3%
Yes
José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?
$144k Vol.
$10k Liq.
32
Ends in about 15 hours
$144k Vol.$10k Liq.32Ends in about 15 hours
0%
Yes
Jerome Powell arrested by March 31?
$79k Vol.
$37k Liq.
1
Ends in about 15 hours
$79k Vol.$37k Liq.1Ends in about 15 hours
0%
Yes