Ayatollah Predictions & Odds· 142 markets
I
Iran leadership change by...?
$6.1m Vol.
$337k Liq.
🔥$104k today
891
Ends in 9 months
$6.1m Vol.🔥$104k today$337k Liq.891Ends in 9 months
34%
December 31
M
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?
$771k Vol.
$88k Liq.
62
Ends in 27 days
$771k Vol.$88k Liq.62Ends in 27 days
9%
June 30
W
78%
Disgusting
W
What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?
$518 Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$518 Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 27 days
79%
President 50+ times
I
Iran leader end of 2026?
$5.9m Vol.
$858k Liq.
73
Ends in 9 months
$5.9m Vol.$858k Liq.73Ends in 9 months
65%
Mojtaba Khamenei
U
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
$476k Vol.
$86k Liq.
29
Ends in 9 months
$476k Vol.$86k Liq.29Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
K
Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$15k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$15k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 4 days
39%
15-19
M
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
$838k Vol.
$38k Liq.
123
Ends in 27 days
$838k Vol.$38k Liq.123Ends in 27 days
31%
May 31
K
Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$35k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 12 hours
$35k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in about 12 hours
94%
<20
W
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
$897k Vol.
$104k Liq.
29
Ends in 9 months
$897k Vol.$104k Liq.29Ends in 9 months
11%
Yes
W
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
$73k Vol.
$311k Liq.
🔥$62k today
Ends in about 2 months
$73k Vol.🔥$62k today$311k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
7%
Yes
I
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$31k Vol.
$7k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$31k Vol.$7k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
23%
Leadership Change
W
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
$18.6m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$558k today
1
Ends in 27 days
$18.6m Vol.🔥$558k today$1.5m Liq.1Ends in 27 days
3%
Yes
W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$104k Vol.
$49k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$104k Vol.$49k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
53%
US x Iran Ceasefire
W
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$13.0m Vol.
$503k Liq.
🔥$111k today
24
Ends in 9 months
$13.0m Vol.🔥$111k today$503k Liq.24Ends in 9 months
25%
Yes
W
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
$25.4m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$386k today
16
Ends in 3 months
$25.4m Vol.🔥$386k today$1.6m Liq.16Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
J
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?
$281k Vol.
$42k Liq.
6
Ends in 27 days
$281k Vol.$42k Liq.6Ends in 27 days
9%
April 30
W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?
$647k Vol.
$17k Liq.
🔥$132k today
224
$647k Vol.🔥$132k today$17k Liq.224
98%
Yes
W
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
$13.2m Vol.
$532k Liq.
🔥$101k today
300
Ends in 3 months
$13.2m Vol.🔥$101k today$532k Liq.300Ends in 3 months
18%
December 31
W
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
$467k Vol.
$38k Liq.
49
Ends in 3 months
$467k Vol.$38k Liq.49Ends in 3 months
86%
Yes