Sam Bankman Fried Predictions & Odds· 127 markets

Politics·ftx

SBF released from custody in 2026?

$309k Vol.

$32k Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

$309k Vol.$32k Liq.1Ends in 9 months

11%

Yes

Politics·Trump

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

$134k Vol.

$113k Liq.

13

Ends in 9 months

$134k Vol.$113k Liq.13Ends in 9 months

64%

Stefan Brodie

Tech·Big Tech

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

$0 Vol.

$6k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

$0 Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 3 months

37%

Yes

Tech·OpenAI

Sam Altman in jail by...?

$41k Vol.

$6k Liq.

6

Ended

$41k Vol.$6k Liq.6Ended

3%

Yes

Crypto·Sam Bankman-Fried

SBF released from custody in 2025?

$358k Vol.

$0 Liq.

44

Ended

$358k Vol.$0 Liq.44Ended

No

Politics·ftx

Will SBF launch a coin before April?

$568k Vol.

$0 Liq.

7

Ended

$568k Vol.$0 Liq.7Ended

No

Crypto·Sam Bankman

Will SBF tweet again by Friday?

$6k Vol.

$0 Liq.

3

Ended

$6k Vol.$0 Liq.3Ended

No

All

Will an FTX acquisition of Robinhood be announced by September 20?

$10k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

$10k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended

All

Did SBF launch BALD?

$53k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

$53k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended

No

All

Will the Digital Commodities Consumer Protection Act (DCCPA) become law by Dec 31?

$3k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

$3k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended

All

Will SBF show up to the NYT DealBook Summit?

$4k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

$4k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended

All

Will SBF be extradited to the US by February 15, 2023?

$3k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

$3k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended

All

Will SBF's tweet storm be more than 22 tweets?

$1k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

$1k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended

All

Will SBF or Bitboy be arrested first?

$4k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

$4k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended

Politics·Trump

Nothing Ever Happens: Trump Pardon Edition

$29k Vol.

$0 Liq.

3

Ended

$29k Vol.$0 Liq.3Ended

Yes

Crypto·Trump

Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31?

$712k Vol.

$0 Liq.

5

Ended

$712k Vol.$0 Liq.5Ended

No

Politics·Trump

Will Trump pardon SBF by September 30?

$241k Vol.

$0 Liq.

5

Ended

$241k Vol.$0 Liq.5Ended

No

Culture·Tweet Markets

Will SBF launch a coin by September 30?

$170k Vol.

$0 Liq.

2

Ended

$170k Vol.$0 Liq.2Ended

No

Culture·Tweet Markets

Will SBF tweet again by Wednesday?

$6k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

$6k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended

Yes

Culture·SBF

Is the @SBF_DOGE account on X real?

$128k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

$128k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended

No