Sam Bankman Fried Predictions & Odds· 104 markets
SBF released from custody in 2026?
$309k Vol.
$32k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$309k Vol.$32k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
11%
Yes
Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
$134k Vol.
$113k Liq.
13
Ends in 9 months
$134k Vol.$113k Liq.13Ends in 9 months
64%
Stefan Brodie
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?
$0 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$0 Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 3 months
37%
Yes
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$96k Vol.
$45k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$96k Vol.$45k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
48%
US x Iran Ceasefire
Sports · Games
WTT - Women's Singles: Elizabeta Samara vs Mo Zhang
$0 Vol.
$12 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$0 Vol.$12 Liq.Ends in 8 days
50%
Samara
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
$91k Vol.
$20k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$91k Vol.$20k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
34%
Yes
Tennis · Sports
Barletta: Nerman Fatic vs Federico Bondioli
$2k Vol.
$434 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
$2k Vol.$434 Liq.Ends in 7 days
57%
Nerman Fatic
Tennis · Sports
Miyazaki: Hayato Matsuoka vs Kasidit Samrej
$2k Vol.
$126k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
$2k Vol.$126k Liq.Ends in 7 days
57%
Hayato Matsuoka
Sports · Games
WTT - Men's Singles: Anders Lind vs Shunsuke Togami
$0 Vol.
$11 Liq.
Ends in 9 days
$0 Vol.$11 Liq.Ends in 9 days
51%
Lind
Tennis · Sports
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Martin Damm vs Brandon Nakashima
$2k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
$2k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in 7 days
29%
Martin Damm
NCAA Tournament: Number of Rothstein “This is March” tweets
$27k Vol.
$1k Liq.
4
Ends in 8 days
$27k Vol.$1k Liq.4Ends in 8 days
43%
51–60
Anyone charged for doxing Delta Force commander heading Maduro grab by March 31?
$3k Vol.
$738 Liq.
2
Ends in about 12 hours
$3k Vol.$738 Liq.2Ends in about 12 hours
2%
Yes
Sports · Games
WTT - Women's Singles: Mima Ito vs Elizabeta Samara
$0 Vol.
$12 Liq.
Ends in 9 days
$0 Vol.$12 Liq.Ends in 9 days
52%
Ito
Which banks will fail by June 30?
$354k Vol.
$92k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
$354k Vol.$92k Liq.7Ends in 3 months
3%
Scotiabank
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
$100k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
27%
Yes
What price will Chainlink hit in March?
$191k Vol.
$144k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$191k Vol.$144k Liq.Ends in 1 day
33%
↓ 8
Sports · Games
WTT - Men's Singles: Alexis Lebrun vs Siu Hang Lam
$0 Vol.
$9 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$0 Vol.$9 Liq.Ends in 8 days
50%
Lebrun
Tennis · Sports
Credit One Charleston Open: Mayar Sherif vs Peyton Stearns
$2k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
$2k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 7 days
33%
Mayar Sherif
17%
Isfahan nuclear facility