Arrest Predictions & Odds· 159 markets
Will Prince Andrew record an interview by March 31?
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Ends in about 9 hours
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1%
Yes
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?
$24k Vol.
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3
Ends in about 1 month
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19%
Yes
Eric Adams arrested by March 31?
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2
Ends in about 9 hours
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0%
Yes
Netanyahu arrested by March 31?
$137k Vol.
$15k Liq.
4
Ends in about 9 hours
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0%
Yes
6%
Yes
Les Wexner arrested by March 31?
$20k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
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0%
Yes
José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?
$144k Vol.
$10k Liq.
32
Ends in about 9 hours
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0%
Yes
Geopolitics · Politics
Nicolas Sarkozy in jail by March 31?
$59k Vol.
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Ends in about 9 hours
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0%
Yes
Yoon out of custody by March 31?
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Ends in about 9 hours
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0%
Yes
SBF released from custody in 2026?
$309k Vol.
$33k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
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11%
Yes
15%
Yes
Stefon Diggs arrested by March 31?
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$768 Liq.
2
Ends in about 9 hours
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1%
Yes
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
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2
Ends in 9 months
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9%
Yes
2%
Yes
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?
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$11k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
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56%
Yes
Either Tate brother arrested by...?
$1k Vol.
$5k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
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23%
June 30
14%
Yes
Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?
$5k Vol.
$15k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
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7%
Yes
55%
Juan Pablo Ledezma
Jerome Powell arrested by March 31?
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1
Ends in about 9 hours
$79k Vol.$37k Liq.1Ends in about 9 hours
0%
Yes