Operative Predictions & Odds· 156 markets
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?
$24k Vol.
$6k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$24k Vol.$6k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
19%
Yes
Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30?
$19k Vol.
$15k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$19k Vol.$15k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
3%
Yes
California voter ID referendum passes?
$0 Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 7 months
22%
Yes
US forces enter Iran by..?
$53.7m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$8.1m today
4,971
$53.7m Vol.🔥$8.1m today$1.5m Liq.4,971
76%
December 31
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
$5.4m Vol.
$153k Liq.
🔥$603k today
2
Ends in 9 months
$5.4m Vol.🔥$603k today$153k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
27%
5
Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by March 31?
$10.9m Vol.
$409k Liq.
🔥$352k today
Ends in about 11 hours
$10.9m Vol.🔥$352k today$409k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
3%
Saudi Arabia
Iran military action against ___ by March 31?
$3.6m Vol.
$189k Liq.
🔥$289k today
Ends in about 11 hours
$3.6m Vol.🔥$289k today$189k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
97%
Bahrain
Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?
$472k Vol.
$203k Liq.
🔥$224k today
Ends in about 1 month
$472k Vol.🔥$224k today$203k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
26%
Saudi Arabia
Iran military action against Israel on...?
$1.9m Vol.
$15k Liq.
🔥$223k today
1
Ends in about 11 hours
$1.9m Vol.🔥$223k today$15k Liq.1Ends in about 11 hours
92%
March 27
Israel military action against Gaza on...?
$971k Vol.
$39k Liq.
🔥$191k today
Ends in about 11 hours
$971k Vol.🔥$191k today$39k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
100%
March 30
Military action against Iran ends on...?
$3.0m Vol.
$90k Liq.
🔥$116k today
Ends in about 11 hours
$3.0m Vol.🔥$116k today$90k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
99%
Military action through March 31
Israel military action against Yemen by...?
$1.0m Vol.
$47k Liq.
🔥$98k today
102
Ends in 3 months
$1.0m Vol.🔥$98k today$47k Liq.102Ends in 3 months
89%
June 30
How many times will the US strike Somalia in March?
$766k Vol.
$83k Liq.
🔥$79k today
Ends in 4 days
$766k Vol.🔥$79k today$83k Liq.Ends in 4 days
96%
6-9
US strike on Cuba by...?
$2.8m Vol.
$71k Liq.
🔥$51k today
48
Ends in 9 months
$2.8m Vol.🔥$51k today$71k Liq.48Ends in 9 months
38%
December 31
US/Israel strike Yemen by...?
$397k Vol.
$13k Liq.
53
Ends in about 11 hours
$397k Vol.$13k Liq.53Ends in about 11 hours
17%
Yes
Military action against Iran ends by...?
$248k Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$248k Vol.$41k Liq.Ends in 3 months
81%
June 30
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?
$4.8m Vol.
$85k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$4.8m Vol.$85k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
1%
Yes
Iran military action against ___ by April 30?
$164k Vol.
$151k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$164k Vol.$151k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
98%
Kuwait
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by...?
$41k Vol.
$18k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
$41k Vol.$18k Liq.1Ends in about 1 month
27%
April 30
Israel military action against Beirut on...?
$122k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$122k Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
100%
March 30