Economic Policy Predictions & Odds· 147 markets
89%
No Change
ECB Interest Rates: April 2026
$214k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$214k Vol.$52k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
61%
No change
Bank of England decision in April?
$199k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$199k Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
81%
No change
Bank of Brazil Decision in April?
$167k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 29 days
$167k Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in 29 days
72%
Decrease
Bank of Japan Decision in April?
$232k Vol.
$59k Liq.
Ends in 29 days
$232k Vol.$59k Liq.Ends in 29 days
70%
25 bps increase
US recession by end of 2026?
$916k Vol.
$91k Liq.
48
Ends in 10 months
$916k Vol.$91k Liq.48Ends in 10 months
37%
Yes
Central Bank of Colombia Decision in March?
$163k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$163k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
99%
Increase
99%
No Change
Bank of Mexico Decision in May
$4k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$4k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
81%
No change
Bank of Korea decision in May?
$10k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$10k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
69%
No Change
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in June?
$12k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$12k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 3 months
58%
Increase
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in May?
$21k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$21k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
63%
Increase
96%
No Change
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in April?
$26k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$26k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 8 days
98%
No Change
71%
25 bps Increase
61%
No change
75%
Decrease
How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
$10k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$10k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in 30 days
43%
2
50%
No change