Operative Predictions & Odds· 156 markets
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?
$24k Vol.
$10k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$24k Vol.$10k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
20%
Yes
Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30?
$19k Vol.
$15k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$19k Vol.$15k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
2%
Yes
California voter ID referendum passes?
$0 Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 7 months
22%
Yes
US forces enter Iran by..?
$53.1m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
🔥$8.1m today
4,930
$53.1m Vol.🔥$8.1m today$1.4m Liq.4,930
79%
December 31
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
$5.3m Vol.
$188k Liq.
🔥$539k today
2
Ends in 9 months
$5.3m Vol.🔥$539k today$188k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
28%
5
Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by March 31?
$10.9m Vol.
$423k Liq.
🔥$388k today
Ends in about 13 hours
$10.9m Vol.🔥$388k today$423k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
3%
UAE
Iran military action against Israel on...?
$1.9m Vol.
$17k Liq.
🔥$347k today
1
Ends in about 13 hours
$1.9m Vol.🔥$347k today$17k Liq.1Ends in about 13 hours
93%
March 27
Iran military action against ___ by March 31?
$3.6m Vol.
$181k Liq.
🔥$303k today
Ends in about 13 hours
$3.6m Vol.🔥$303k today$181k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
95%
Bahrain
Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?
$465k Vol.
$201k Liq.
🔥$223k today
Ends in about 1 month
$465k Vol.🔥$223k today$201k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
28%
Saudi Arabia
Israel military action against Gaza on...?
$956k Vol.
$48k Liq.
🔥$218k today
Ends in about 13 hours
$956k Vol.🔥$218k today$48k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
100%
March 30
Military action against Iran ends on...?
$3.0m Vol.
$94k Liq.
🔥$117k today
Ends in about 13 hours
$3.0m Vol.🔥$117k today$94k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
99%
Military action through March 31
Israel military action against Yemen by...?
$1.0m Vol.
$56k Liq.
🔥$99k today
101
Ends in 3 months
$1.0m Vol.🔥$99k today$56k Liq.101Ends in 3 months
91%
June 30
How many times will the US strike Somalia in March?
$763k Vol.
$81k Liq.
🔥$77k today
Ends in 5 days
$763k Vol.🔥$77k today$81k Liq.Ends in 5 days
96%
6-9
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?
$4.8m Vol.
$86k Liq.
🔥$53k today
Ends in about 13 hours
$4.8m Vol.🔥$53k today$86k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
1%
Yes
US/Israel strike Yemen by...?
$397k Vol.
$14k Liq.
53
Ends in about 13 hours
$397k Vol.$14k Liq.53Ends in about 13 hours
17%
Yes
Military action against Iran ends by...?
$248k Vol.
$46k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$248k Vol.$46k Liq.Ends in 3 months
79%
June 30
US strike on Cuba by...?
$2.8m Vol.
$113k Liq.
49
Ends in 9 months
$2.8m Vol.$113k Liq.49Ends in 9 months
39%
December 31
Iran military action against ___ by April 30?
$163k Vol.
$128k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$163k Vol.$128k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
98%
Kuwait
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by...?
$39k Vol.
$18k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
$39k Vol.$18k Liq.1Ends in about 1 month
30%
April 30
Israel military action against Beirut on...?
$118k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$118k Vol.$31k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
98%
March 30