Fed Predictions & Odds· 743 markets
Fed decision in April?
$37.6m Vol.
$4.0m Liq.
🔥$1.7m today
18
Ends in 30 days
$37.6m Vol.🔥$1.7m today$4.0m Liq.18Ends in 30 days
97%
No change
Fed Decision in June?
$4.5m Vol.
$875k Liq.
🔥$287k today
11
Ends in 3 months
$4.5m Vol.🔥$287k today$875k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
87%
No change
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$14.6m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
🔥$274k today
54
Ends in 9 months
$14.6m Vol.🔥$274k today$1.2m Liq.54Ends in 9 months
39%
0 (0 bps)
Fed Decision in July?
$2.2m Vol.
$277k Liq.
🔥$163k today
Ends in 4 months
$2.2m Vol.🔥$163k today$277k Liq.Ends in 4 months
78%
No change
23%
Yes
82%
Pause–Pause–Pause
97%
Pause–Pause–Pause
How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
$10k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$10k Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in 30 days
45%
2
73%
Pause–Pause–Pause
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?
$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 18 hours
$0 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 18 hours
53%
>5%
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
$5.8m Vol.
$357k Liq.
🔥$523k today
5
Ends in 8 months
$5.8m Vol.🔥$523k today$357k Liq.5Ends in 8 months
34%
3.75%
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
$15.6m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
🔥$517k today
70
Ends in 7 months
$15.6m Vol.🔥$517k today$1.8m Liq.70Ends in 7 months
95%
Kevin Warsh
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$1.3m Vol.
$244k Liq.
🔥$440k today
15
Ends in 9 months
$1.3m Vol.🔥$440k today$244k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
64%
↓ 3.25%
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?
$434k Vol.
$21k Liq.
11
Ends in about 2 months
$434k Vol.$21k Liq.11Ends in about 2 months
55%
May 15
63%
December Meeting
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?
$1.8m Vol.
$167k Liq.
36
Ends in about 1 month
$1.8m Vol.$167k Liq.36Ends in about 1 month
2%
May 14
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
$68k Vol.
$20k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$68k Vol.$20k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$96k Vol.
$44k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$96k Vol.$44k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
43%
US x Iran Ceasefire
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?
$65k Vol.
$31k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
$65k Vol.$31k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
3%
Yes
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
$117k Vol.
$20k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months
$117k Vol.$20k Liq.8Ends in 9 months
71%
December 31