FOMC Predictions & Odds· 126 markets

Fed decision in April?
$37.6m Vol.
$4.0m Liq.
🔥$1.7m today
18
Ends in 30 days
$37.6m Vol.🔥$1.7m today$4.0m Liq.18Ends in 30 days
97%
No change

Fed Decision in June?
$4.5m Vol.
$875k Liq.
🔥$287k today
11
Ends in 3 months
$4.5m Vol.🔥$287k today$875k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
87%
No change

Fed Decision in July?
$2.2m Vol.
$277k Liq.
🔥$163k today
Ends in 4 months
$2.2m Vol.🔥$163k today$277k Liq.Ends in 4 months
78%
No change

82%
Pause–Pause–Pause

97%
Pause–Pause–Pause

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
$10k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$10k Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in 30 days
45%
2

73%
Pause–Pause–Pause

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
$5.8m Vol.
$357k Liq.
🔥$523k today
5
Ends in 8 months
$5.8m Vol.🔥$523k today$357k Liq.5Ends in 8 months
34%
3.75%

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$1.3m Vol.
$244k Liq.
🔥$440k today
15
Ends in 9 months
$1.3m Vol.🔥$440k today$244k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
64%
↓ 3.25%

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$14.6m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
🔥$274k today
54
Ends in 9 months
$14.6m Vol.🔥$274k today$1.2m Liq.54Ends in 9 months
39%
0 (0 bps)

63%
December Meeting

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
$68k Vol.
$20k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$68k Vol.$20k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes

Parlays · Hide From New
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair
$26k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$26k Vol.$40k Liq.Ends in 9 months
78%
Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

What price will Bitcoin hit on March 30?
$271 Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 22 hours
$271 Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in about 22 hours
82%
↓ 67,000

What will the Bitcoin implied volatility index hit by April 30?
$33k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$33k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
49%
↑ 70

What price will Bitcoin hit March 30-April 5?
$3k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
$3k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 7 days
75%
↓ 66,000

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
$0 Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
$0 Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in about 4 hours
50%
Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
$0 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
$0 Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 4 hours
51%
Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
$0 Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$0 Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
50%
Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
$0 Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 17 hours
$0 Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in about 17 hours
50%
Up