FOMC 预测与赔率· 119 个市场

Fed decision in April?

Fed decision in April?

$37.8m 交易量
$3.2m 流动性
🔥$1.6m 今日
18
30 天后结束

97%

No change

Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

$4.6m 交易量
$863k 流动性
🔥$237k 今日
11
3 个月后结束

87%

No change

Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

$2.3m 交易量
$272k 流动性
🔥$169k 今日
4 个月后结束

78%

No change

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

$713k 交易量
$111k 流动性
3 个月后结束

83%

Pause–Pause–Pause

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

$390k 交易量
$102k 流动性
17
30 天后结束

97%

Pause–Pause–Pause

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

$10k 交易量
$22k 流动性
30 天后结束

44%

2

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

$752 交易量
$129k 流动性
4 个月后结束

73%

Pause–Pause–Pause

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

$5.9m 交易量
$377k 流动性
🔥$500k 今日
5
8 个月后结束

33%

3.75%

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

$1.3m 交易量
$304k 流动性
🔥$434k 今日
15
9 个月后结束

60%

↓ 3.25%

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

$14.6m 交易量
$1.3m 流动性
🔥$286k 今日
54
9 个月后结束

39%

0 (0 bps)

Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by...?

$1.2m 交易量
$180k 流动性
15
3 个月后结束

63%

December Meeting

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

$70k 交易量
$20k 流动性
2
9 个月后结束

19%

Yes

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

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Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

$26k 交易量
$41k 流动性
9 个月后结束

78%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

$117k 交易量
$20k 流动性
8
9 个月后结束

71%

December 31

Fed abolished before 2027?

Fed abolished before 2027?

$3k 交易量
$8k 流动性
9 个月后结束

4%

Yes

Will Trump sue Powell by March 31?

Will Trump sue Powell by March 31?

$167k 交易量
$12k 流动性
1
大约 16 小时后结束

0%

Yes

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?

$434k 交易量
$23k 流动性
11
大约 2 个月后结束

55%

May 15

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

$65k 交易量
$31k 流动性
1
大约 2 个月后结束

3%

Yes

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed rate hike in 2026?

$669k 交易量
$45k 流动性
26
8 个月后结束

25%

Yes

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

$234k 交易量
$31k 流动性
33
3 个月后结束

3%

Yes