Fed 预测与赔率· 740 个市场

Fed decision in April?

Fed decision in April?

$37.8m 交易量
$3.2m 流动性
🔥$1.6m 今日
18
30 天后结束

97%

No change

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

$14.6m 交易量
$1.3m 流动性
🔥$286k 今日
54
9 个月后结束

39%

0 (0 bps)

Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

$4.6m 交易量
$863k 流动性
🔥$237k 今日
11
3 个月后结束

87%

No change

Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

$2.3m 交易量
$272k 流动性
🔥$169k 今日
4 个月后结束

78%

No change

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed rate hike in 2026?

$669k 交易量
$45k 流动性
26
8 个月后结束

25%

Yes

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

$713k 交易量
$111k 流动性
3 个月后结束

83%

Pause–Pause–Pause

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

$390k 交易量
$102k 流动性
17
30 天后结束

97%

Pause–Pause–Pause

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

$10k 交易量
$22k 流动性
30 天后结束

44%

2

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

$752 交易量
$129k 流动性
4 个月后结束

73%

Pause–Pause–Pause

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___  by March 31?

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?

$0 交易量
$3k 流动性
大约 16 小时后结束

53%

>5%

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

$5.9m 交易量
$377k 流动性
🔥$500k 今日
5
8 个月后结束

33%

3.75%

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

$15.6m 交易量
$2.0m 流动性
🔥$485k 今日
70
7 个月后结束

96%

Kevin Warsh

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

$1.3m 交易量
$304k 流动性
🔥$434k 今日
15
9 个月后结束

60%

↓ 3.25%

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?

$434k 交易量
$23k 流动性
11
大约 2 个月后结束

55%

May 15

Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by...?

$1.2m 交易量
$180k 流动性
15
3 个月后结束

63%

December Meeting

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

$1.8m 交易量
$166k 流动性
36
大约 1 个月后结束

2%

May 14

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

$70k 交易量
$20k 流动性
2
9 个月后结束

19%

Yes

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

$96k 交易量
$46k 流动性
3
7 个月后结束

44%

US x Iran Ceasefire

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

$117k 交易量
$20k 流动性
8
9 个月后结束

71%

December 31

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

$65k 交易量
$31k 流动性
1
大约 2 个月后结束

3%

Yes