Chair Of The Federal Reserve Predictions & Odds· 116 markets
Trump · Fed Rates
Trump drops Powell investigation by…?
$4k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$4k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 3 months
63%
June 30
Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?
$72k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$72k Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in 3 months
94%
Thom Tillis
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?
$65k Vol.
$31k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
$65k Vol.$31k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
3%
Yes
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
$15.6m Vol.
$1.9m Liq.
🔥$388k today
73
Ends in 7 months
$15.6m Vol.🔥$388k today$1.9m Liq.73Ends in 7 months
96%
Kevin Warsh
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?
$435k Vol.
$21k Liq.
11
Ends in about 2 months
$435k Vol.$21k Liq.11Ends in about 2 months
54%
May 15
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$96k Vol.
$45k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$96k Vol.$45k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
48%
US x Iran Ceasefire
Parlays · Hide From New
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair
$40k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$40k Vol.$52k Liq.Ends in 9 months
78%
Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%
How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?
$211 Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$211 Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in 9 months
35%
60+
Will Trump try to Fire Powell by March 31?
$48k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$48k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
0%
Yes
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
$117k Vol.
$21k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months
$117k Vol.$21k Liq.8Ends in 9 months
71%
December 31
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?
$1.8m Vol.
$140k Liq.
36
Ends in about 1 month
$1.8m Vol.$140k Liq.36Ends in about 1 month
2%
May 14
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?
$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$0 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
53%
>5%
83%
Pause–Pause–Pause
97%
Pause–Pause–Pause
Fed Decision in June?
$4.6m Vol.
$915k Liq.
🔥$227k today
11
Ends in 3 months
$4.6m Vol.🔥$227k today$915k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
87%
No change
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
$2.5m Vol.
$320k Liq.
🔥$303k today
Ends in 9 months
$2.5m Vol.🔥$303k today$320k Liq.Ends in 9 months
57%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by March 31?
$74k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$74k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
1%
Yes
Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.4m Vol.
$499k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3.4m Vol.$499k Liq.Ends in 9 months
60%
Orbán - Hungary PM
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?
$0 Vol.
$148 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$0 Vol.$148 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Up
How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?
$58 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$58 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
50%
<15 minutes