Fed Chair Predictions & Odds· 121 markets
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$96k Vol.
$48k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$96k Vol.$48k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
48%
US x Iran Ceasefire
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
$15.6m Vol.
$2.0m Liq.
🔥$399k today
73
Ends in 7 months
$15.6m Vol.🔥$399k today$2.0m Liq.73Ends in 7 months
96%
Kevin Warsh
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?
$434k Vol.
$23k Liq.
11
Ends in about 2 months
$434k Vol.$23k Liq.11Ends in about 2 months
54%
May 15
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?
$1.8m Vol.
$140k Liq.
36
Ends in about 1 month
$1.8m Vol.$140k Liq.36Ends in about 1 month
2%
May 14
Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?
$72k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$72k Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in 3 months
94%
Thom Tillis
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?
$65k Vol.
$30k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
$65k Vol.$30k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
3%
Yes
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?
$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$0 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
53%
>5%
How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?
$211 Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$211 Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in 9 months
35%
60+
Parlays · Hide From New
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair
$40k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$40k Vol.$40k Liq.Ends in 9 months
78%
Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%
Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition
$145k Vol.
$12k Liq.
2
Ends in about 13 hours
$145k Vol.$12k Liq.2Ends in about 13 hours
100%
Yes
How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
$10k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$10k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in 30 days
42%
1
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
$117k Vol.
$21k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months
$117k Vol.$21k Liq.8Ends in 9 months
71%
December 31
Trump · Fed Rates
Trump drops Powell investigation by…?
$4k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$4k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 3 months
61%
June 30
Will Trump try to Fire Powell by March 31?
$48k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$48k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
0%
Yes
Fed Decision in July?
$2.4m Vol.
$259k Liq.
🔥$233k today
Ends in 4 months
$2.4m Vol.🔥$233k today$259k Liq.Ends in 4 months
78%
No change
Fed decision in April?
$38.4m Vol.
$3.0m Liq.
🔥$1.9m today
18
Ends in 30 days
$38.4m Vol.🔥$1.9m today$3.0m Liq.18Ends in 30 days
97%
No change
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
$5.9m Vol.
$354k Liq.
🔥$424k today
8
Ends in 8 months
$5.9m Vol.🔥$424k today$354k Liq.8Ends in 8 months
34%
3.75%
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
$70k Vol.
$20k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$70k Vol.$20k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$1.3m Vol.
$290k Liq.
🔥$329k today
18
Ends in 9 months
$1.3m Vol.🔥$329k today$290k Liq.18Ends in 9 months
64%
↓ 3.25%