Senate Elections Predictions & Odds· 212 markets
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
$1.3m Vol.
$390k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$1.3m Vol.$390k Liq.Ends in 7 months
52%
Democratic Party
Which party will win the House in 2026?
$4.0m Vol.
$492k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$4.0m Vol.$492k Liq.Ends in 7 months
85%
Democratic Party
35%
John Thune
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
$57k Vol.
$13k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
$57k Vol.$13k Liq.4Ends in 7 months
2%
Yes
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
$105k Vol.
$6k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months
$105k Vol.$6k Liq.8Ends in 9 months
26%
Yes
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
$219k Vol.
$46k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$219k Vol.$46k Liq.Ends in 3 months
4%
Yes
Will Congress pass any tariffs by March 31?
$25k Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ends in about 15 hours
$25k Vol.$13k Liq.1Ends in about 15 hours
0%
Yes
Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?
$551k Vol.
$13k Liq.
26
Ends in about 15 hours
$551k Vol.$13k Liq.26Ends in about 15 hours
51%
December 31, 2026
Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?
$72k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$72k Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in 3 months
93%
Thom Tillis
27%
≤47
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
$0 Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 7 months
77%
Yes
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
$0 Vol.
$7k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$7k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
82%
Yes
How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?
$4k Vol.
$10k Liq.
$4k Vol.$10k Liq.
81%
0
50%
2
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
$4.2m Vol.
$508k Liq.
138
Ends in 7 months
$4.2m Vol.$508k Liq.138Ends in 7 months
50%
Democrats Sweep
41%
JP
88%
Yes
94%
24-26
How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?
$67k Vol.
$71k Liq.
5
Ends in 5 months
$67k Vol.$71k Liq.5Ends in 5 months
56%
7