Gov Shutdown Predictions & Odds· 622 markets
When will the DHS shutdown end?
$510k Vol.
$118k Liq.
🔥$235k today
Ends in about 1 month
$510k Vol.🔥$235k today$118k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
26%
After April 30
When will the DHS shutdown end?
$1.6m Vol.
$63k Liq.
Ends in about 15 hours
$1.6m Vol.$63k Liq.Ends in about 15 hours
99%
After March 31
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
$210k Vol.
$25k Liq.
10
Ends in 7 months
$210k Vol.$25k Liq.10Ends in 7 months
83%
Shutdown & Democratic Party
Number of TSA passengers March 30 - April 5?
$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
$3k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 6 days
39%
18-18.5m
65%
2.6M-2.8M
80%
2.6M-2.8M
1%
Yes
91%
17.5-18m
98%
<6,000
Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?
$79k Vol.
$72k Liq.
1
Ends in about 15 hours
$79k Vol.$72k Liq.1Ends in about 15 hours
14%
Catherine Cortez Masto
Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 31?
$418 Vol.
$128 Liq.
Ends in about 15 hours
$418 Vol.$128 Liq.Ends in about 15 hours
30%
Yes
1%
Yes
44%
6,500-7,000
Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?
$551k Vol.
$13k Liq.
26
Ends in about 15 hours
$551k Vol.$13k Liq.26Ends in about 15 hours
51%
December 31, 2026
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
$100k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
27%
Yes
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$12k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$12k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
44%
April 30
17%
Isfahan nuclear facility