Shutdown Predictions & Odds· 123 markets

Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

$34k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 15 days

1%

Yes

When will the DHS shutdown end?

When will the DHS shutdown end?

$506k Vol.
$116k Liq.
🔥$285k today
Ends in about 1 month

31%

After April 30

When will the DHS shutdown end?

When will the DHS shutdown end?

$1.6m Vol.
$62k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours

99%

After March 31

How long will the DHS shutdown last?

How long will the DHS shutdown last?

$1.1m Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ended

99%

48+ days

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

$210k Vol.
$25k Liq.
10
Ends in 7 months

83%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

What will Trump say this week? (March 29)

What will Trump say this week? (March 29)

$514k Vol.
$481k Liq.
1
Ended

4%

Finish the Job

Number of US Flights Delayed March 29?

Number of US Flights Delayed March 29?

$5k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ended

81%

<6,000

Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?

Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?

$79k Vol.
$70k Liq.
1
Ends in about 16 hours

9%

Jacky Rosen

What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)

What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)

$4k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 6 days

80%

Happy Easter

Number of TSA passengers March 30 - April 5?

Number of TSA passengers March 30 - April 5?

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 days

39%

17.5-18m

Number of TSA Passengers March 29?

Number of TSA Passengers March 29?

$17k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ended

66%

2.6M-2.8M

Number of TSA Passengers March 27?

Number of TSA Passengers March 27?

$25k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ended

80%

2.6M-2.8M

Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 30?

Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 30?

$801 Vol.
$51 Liq.
Ended

51%

Yes

Number of TSA Passengers March 28?

Number of TSA Passengers March 28?

$9k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ended

55%

<2.6M

Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 29?

Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 29?

$473 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ended

1%

Yes

Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 31?

Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 31?

$368 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours

16%

Yes

Number of US Flights Delayed March 30?

Number of US Flights Delayed March 30?

$349 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ended

44%

6,500-7,000

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

$551k Vol.
$13k Liq.
26
Ends in about 16 hours

51%

December 31, 2026

Number of TSA passengers March 23 - March 29?

Number of TSA passengers March 23 - March 29?

$20k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ended

91%

17.5-18m

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

$41k Vol.
$7k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months

25%

Yes