Transportation Security Administration Predictions & Odds· 111 markets
1%
Yes
Number of TSA passengers March 30 - April 5?
$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
$3k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 6 days
39%
17.5-18m
65%
2.6M-2.8M
80%
2.6M-2.8M
79%
<2.4M
Number of TSA Passengers March 31?
$663 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
$663 Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
88%
<2.4M
90%
17.5-18m
54%
2.6M-2.8M
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?
$107k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
$107k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
2%
Yes
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?
$8k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
$8k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 16 days
31%
Yes
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?
$2.2m Vol.
$105k Liq.
🔥$155k today
116
Ends in about 16 hours
$2.2m Vol.🔥$155k today$105k Liq.116Ends in about 16 hours
31%
April 30
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$15k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$15k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
47%
April 30
Will Mamdani make NYC buses free by March 31?
$73k Vol.
$11k Liq.
3
Ends in about 16 hours
$73k Vol.$11k Liq.3Ends in about 16 hours
0%
Yes
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$129k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$129k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in 3 months
16%
Yes
3%
Yes
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
$46k Vol.
$26k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$46k Vol.$26k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes
18%
June 30