Ship Predictions & Odds· 141 markets
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?
$107k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
$107k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
2%
Yes
How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?
$13k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$13k Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
65%
<2
Houthis successfully target shipping by...?
$81k Vol.
$36k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month
$81k Vol.$36k Liq.4Ends in about 1 month
60%
April 30
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
$97k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
$97k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
3%
March 30
How many ships will Iran successfully target by March 31?
$64k Vol.
$39k Liq.
2
Ends in about 16 hours
$64k Vol.$39k Liq.2Ends in about 16 hours
98%
<5
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
$386 Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$386 Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
15%
April 10
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)
$423k Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ended
$423k Vol.$41k Liq.Ended
56%
20-24
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)
$23k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ended
$23k Vol.$14k Liq.Ended
38%
30-34
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?
$2.2m Vol.
$105k Liq.
🔥$155k today
116
Ends in about 16 hours
$2.2m Vol.🔥$155k today$105k Liq.116Ends in about 16 hours
31%
April 30
1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?
$50k Vol.
$12k Liq.
4
Ends in about 16 hours
$50k Vol.$12k Liq.4Ends in about 16 hours
1%
Yes
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
$129k Vol.
$28k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$129k Vol.$28k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
9%
Yes
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
$1.4m Vol.
$80k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$1.4m Vol.$80k Liq.Ends in 9 months
16%
Yes
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
$514k Vol.
$69k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months
$514k Vol.$69k Liq.31Ends in 9 months
16%
Yes
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?
$8k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
$8k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 16 days
31%
Yes
US x China Military clash before 2027?
$52k Vol.
$29k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$52k Vol.$29k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
7%
Yes
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?
$78k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
$78k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 16 days
51%
April 15
North Korea missile test/launch by March 31?
$26k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
$26k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
4%
Yes
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
$60k Vol.
$17k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$60k Vol.$17k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
41%
Yes
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
$193k Vol.
$56k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$193k Vol.$56k Liq.Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?
$462k Vol.
$26k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
$462k Vol.$26k Liq.10Ends in 3 months
6%
Yes