Tanker Predictions & Odds· 116 markets

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?

$1.5m Vol.
$59k Liq.
🔥$470k today
Ends in about 16 hours

97%

0-10

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?

$321k Vol.
$62k Liq.
🔥$288k today
Ends in 4 days

79%

0-10

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)

55%

20-24

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)

38%

30-34

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

$11k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

37%

0-10

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?

$107k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours

2%

Yes

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?

$8k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 16 days

31%

Yes

Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?

Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?

$78k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 16 days

51%

April 15

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

$1.5m Vol.
$80k Liq.
🔥$56k today
95
Ends in about 1 month

20%

Yes

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

$602k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours

6%

20+

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

$6k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

61%

20+

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$28k Vol.
$15k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month

47%

April 30

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

$2.0m Vol.
$10k Liq.
107
Ends in 3 months

48%

Yes

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

$432k Vol.
$4k Liq.
27

39%

Yes

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

$14.0m Vol.
$434k Liq.
255
Ends in 3 months

43%

>$600M

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

$52k Vol.
$10k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months

29%

Yes

Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?

Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?

$9k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

74%

April 9

Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?

Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?

$61k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours

98%

March 28

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$374k Vol.
$18k Liq.
59

17%

Isfahan nuclear facility

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?

$2.2m Vol.
$105k Liq.
🔥$155k today
116
Ends in about 16 hours

31%

April 30