Shipping Predictions & Odds· 114 markets
Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?
$48k Vol.
$10k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$48k Vol.$10k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
Houthis successfully target shipping by...?
$81k Vol.
$37k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month
$81k Vol.$37k Liq.4Ends in about 1 month
60%
April 30
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
$97k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
$97k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
3%
March 30
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
$386 Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$386 Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
15%
April 10
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
$322k Vol.
$95k Liq.
🔥$62k today
30
Ends in about 1 month
$322k Vol.🔥$62k today$95k Liq.30Ends in about 1 month
39%
April 30
How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?
$13k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$13k Vol.$32k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
65%
<2
How many ships will Iran successfully target by March 31?
$64k Vol.
$38k Liq.
2
Ends in about 16 hours
$64k Vol.$38k Liq.2Ends in about 16 hours
98%
<5
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?
$610k Vol.
$165k Liq.
🔥$527k today
5
Ends in about 1 month
$610k Vol.🔥$527k today$165k Liq.5Ends in about 1 month
40%
United States
US x Cuba economic deal by...?
$79k Vol.
$25k Liq.
15
Ends in 3 months
$79k Vol.$25k Liq.15Ends in 3 months
36%
June 30
1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?
$50k Vol.
$12k Liq.
4
Ends in about 16 hours
$50k Vol.$12k Liq.4Ends in about 16 hours
1%
Yes
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
$129k Vol.
$28k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$129k Vol.$28k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
9%
Yes
48%
Yes
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$15k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$15k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
47%
April 30
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?
$11k Vol.
$51k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$11k Vol.$51k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
37%
0-10
NASA Artemis II
$697k Vol.
$26k Liq.
94
Ends in about 16 hours
$697k Vol.$26k Liq.94Ends in about 16 hours
83%
April 30
61%
April 30
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$14.0m Vol.
$433k Liq.
255
Ends in 3 months
$14.0m Vol.$433k Liq.255Ends in 3 months
43%
>$600M
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)
$23k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ended
$23k Vol.$14k Liq.Ended
38%
30-34
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?
$78k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
$78k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 16 days
51%
April 15