Homeland Security Predictions & Odds· 110 markets

When will the DHS shutdown end?
$512k Vol.
$127k Liq.
🔥$174k today
Ends in about 1 month
$512k Vol.🔥$174k today$127k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
28%
After April 30

When will the DHS shutdown end?
$1.6m Vol.
$65k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$1.6m Vol.$65k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
100%
After March 31

Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?
$80k Vol.
$70k Liq.
1
Ends in about 13 hours
$80k Vol.$70k Liq.1Ends in about 13 hours
14%
Catherine Cortez Masto

1%
Yes

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?
$17k Vol.
$11k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$17k Vol.$11k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes

17%
Isfahan nuclear facility

47%
Yes

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$13k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$13k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
43%
April 30

Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
$82k Vol.
$21k Liq.
8
Ends in about 13 hours
$82k Vol.$21k Liq.8Ends in about 13 hours
1%
Yes

ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
$312k Vol.
$11k Liq.
27
Ends in about 13 hours
$312k Vol.$11k Liq.27Ends in about 13 hours
0%
Yes

Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?
$733k Vol.
$9k Liq.
146
Ends in about 13 hours
$733k Vol.$9k Liq.146Ends in about 13 hours
1%
Yes

Anyone charged for doxing Delta Force commander heading Maduro grab by March 31?
$3k Vol.
$1k Liq.
2
Ends in about 13 hours
$3k Vol.$1k Liq.2Ends in about 13 hours
2%
Yes

Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?
$351k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$351k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
2%
Yes

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$129k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$129k Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in 3 months
16%
Yes

21%
June 30

3%
Yes

White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$51k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$51k Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in 4 days
43%
160-179
