Homeland Security Predictions & Odds· 110 markets

When will the DHS shutdown end?

When will the DHS shutdown end?

$512k Vol.
$127k Liq.
🔥$174k today
Ends in about 1 month

28%

After April 30

When will the DHS shutdown end?

When will the DHS shutdown end?

$1.6m Vol.
$65k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours

100%

After March 31

How long will the DHS shutdown last?

How long will the DHS shutdown last?

$1.1m Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ended

99%

48+ days

Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?

Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?

$80k Vol.
$70k Liq.
1
Ends in about 13 hours

14%

Catherine Cortez Masto

Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

$34k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 15 days

1%

Yes

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

$17k Vol.
$11k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months

5%

Yes

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$374k Vol.
$25k Liq.
59

17%

Isfahan nuclear facility

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

$2.0m Vol.
$10k Liq.
107
Ends in 3 months

47%

Yes

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$28k Vol.
$13k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month

43%

April 30

Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

$82k Vol.
$21k Liq.
8
Ends in about 13 hours

1%

Yes

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

$432k Vol.
$4k Liq.
27

37%

Yes

ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

$312k Vol.
$11k Liq.
27
Ends in about 13 hours

0%

Yes

Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?

Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?

$733k Vol.
$9k Liq.
146
Ends in about 13 hours

1%

Yes

Anyone charged for doxing Delta Force commander heading Maduro grab by March 31?

Anyone charged for doxing Delta Force commander heading Maduro grab by March 31?

$3k Vol.
$1k Liq.
2
Ends in about 13 hours

2%

Yes

Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?

Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?

$351k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours

2%

Yes

ICE shooter charged by March 31?

ICE shooter charged by March 31?

$600k Vol.
$17k Liq.
170
Ended

1%

Yes

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

$129k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

16%

Yes

Israel x Syria security agreement by...?

Israel x Syria security agreement by...?

$758k Vol.
$6k Liq.
113
Ended

21%

June 30

Anthropic CEO arrested?

Anthropic CEO arrested?

$140k Vol.
$52k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months

3%

Yes

White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

$51k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 4 days

43%

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