Supreme Leader Predictions & Odds· 120 markets
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?
$731k Vol.
$104k Liq.
62
Ends in about 1 month
$731k Vol.$104k Liq.62Ends in about 1 month
8%
June 30
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?
$255k Vol.
$59k Liq.
7
Ends in about 1 month
$255k Vol.$59k Liq.7Ends in about 1 month
8%
June 30
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
$55k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$55k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
Will Clavicular be Iran's next Supreme Leader by March 31st?
$1.1m Vol.
$402k Liq.
47
Ends in about 16 hours
$1.1m Vol.$402k Liq.47Ends in about 16 hours
0%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
$56.1m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$2.4m today
2
Ends in about 16 hours
$56.1m Vol.🔥$2.4m today$1.6m Liq.2Ends in about 16 hours
0%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
$12.8m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$412k today
Ends in about 1 month
$12.8m Vol.🔥$412k today$1.1m Liq.Ends in about 1 month
7%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
$22.4m Vol.
$1.0m Liq.
🔥$377k today
3
Ends in 3 months
$22.4m Vol.🔥$377k today$1.0m Liq.3Ends in 3 months
19%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$12.1m Vol.
$518k Liq.
🔥$195k today
10
Ends in 9 months
$12.1m Vol.🔥$195k today$518k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
35%
Yes
Iran leadership change by...?
$5.2m Vol.
$209k Liq.
🔥$126k today
884
Ends in 9 months
$5.2m Vol.🔥$126k today$209k Liq.884Ends in 9 months
54%
December 31
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
$698k Vol.
$49k Liq.
115
Ends in about 1 month
$698k Vol.$49k Liq.115Ends in about 1 month
36%
May 31
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
$405k Vol.
$37k Liq.
49
Ends in 3 months
$405k Vol.$37k Liq.49Ends in 3 months
81%
Yes
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$28k Vol.
$10k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$28k Vol.$10k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
34%
Leadership Change
Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?
$1k Vol.
$118 Liq.
37
Ends in about 16 hours
$1k Vol.$118 Liq.37Ends in about 16 hours
47%
March 31
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$96k Vol.
$45k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$96k Vol.$45k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
44%
US x Iran Ceasefire
Iran leader end of 2026?
$5.6m Vol.
$1.0m Liq.
70
Ends in 9 months
$5.6m Vol.$1.0m Liq.70Ends in 9 months
45%
Mojtaba Khamenei
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
$466k Vol.
$86k Liq.
26
Ends in 9 months
$466k Vol.$86k Liq.26Ends in 9 months
15%
Yes
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain?
$115k Vol.
$10k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$115k Vol.$10k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
13%
Yes
Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.4m Vol.
$481k Liq.
🔥$70k today
Ends in 9 months
$3.4m Vol.🔥$70k today$481k Liq.Ends in 9 months
60%
Orbán - Hungary PM
Geopolitics · World
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
$1.7m Vol.
$61k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$1.7m Vol.$61k Liq.Ends in 3 months
3%
Yes
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
$841k Vol.
$119k Liq.
29
Ends in 9 months
$841k Vol.$119k Liq.29Ends in 9 months
15%
Yes