Supreme Leader Predictions & Odds· 117 markets
W
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?
$283k Vol.
$24k Liq.
7
Ends in 28 days
$283k Vol.$24k Liq.7Ends in 28 days
8%
June 30
M
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?
$765k Vol.
$82k Liq.
62
Ends in 28 days
$765k Vol.$82k Liq.62Ends in 28 days
10%
June 30
K
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
$55k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$55k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
W
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
$18.1m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
🔥$2.0m today
1
Ends in 28 days
$18.1m Vol.🔥$2.0m today$1.4m Liq.1Ends in 28 days
3%
Yes
W
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
$25.0m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
🔥$823k today
11
Ends in 3 months
$25.0m Vol.🔥$823k today$1.4m Liq.11Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes
W
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$12.9m Vol.
$331k Liq.
🔥$285k today
19
Ends in 9 months
$12.9m Vol.🔥$285k today$331k Liq.19Ends in 9 months
25%
Yes
I
Iran leadership change by...?
$6.0m Vol.
$287k Liq.
🔥$216k today
892
Ends in 9 months
$6.0m Vol.🔥$216k today$287k Liq.892Ends in 9 months
33%
December 31
M
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
$820k Vol.
$40k Liq.
122
Ends in 28 days
$820k Vol.$40k Liq.122Ends in 28 days
34%
May 31
W
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
$22k Vol.
$223k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$22k Vol.$223k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
7%
Yes
W
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
$466k Vol.
$32k Liq.
50
Ends in 3 months
$466k Vol.$32k Liq.50Ends in 3 months
89%
Yes
I
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$30k Vol.
$11k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$30k Vol.$11k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
22%
Leadership Change
W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$102k Vol.
$42k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$102k Vol.$42k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
54%
US x Iran Ceasefire
W
What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?
$241 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$241 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 28 days
75%
President 50+ times
I
Iran leader end of 2026?
$5.8m Vol.
$960k Liq.
🔥$89k today
72
Ends in 9 months
$5.8m Vol.🔥$89k today$960k Liq.72Ends in 9 months
66%
Mojtaba Khamenei
U
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
$476k Vol.
$58k Liq.
28
Ends in 9 months
$476k Vol.$58k Liq.28Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
H
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain?
$120k Vol.
$19k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$120k Vol.$19k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
N
Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.5m Vol.
$416k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3.5m Vol.$416k Liq.Ends in 9 months
64%
Orbán - Hungary PM
K
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by...?
$159k Vol.
$21k Liq.
50
Ends in 9 months
$159k Vol.$21k Liq.50Ends in 9 months
23%
December 31
X
Geopolitics · World
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
$1.7m Vol.
$74k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$1.7m Vol.$74k Liq.Ends in 3 months
2%
Yes
W
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
$892k Vol.
$98k Liq.
30
Ends in 9 months
$892k Vol.$98k Liq.30Ends in 9 months
11%
Yes