Khamenei Out Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

$5.3m Vol.
$212k Liq.
🔥$131k today
887
Ends in 9 months

51%

December 31

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

$28k Vol.
$12k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months

34%

Leadership Change

What will Trump say this week? (April 5)

What will Trump say this week? (April 5)

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 5 days

88%

Sunday

What will Trump say in April?

What will Trump say in April?

$14k Vol.
$35k Liq.
10
Ends in about 1 month

93%

Jesus

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

$389k Vol.
$12k Liq.
16
Ends in about 9 hours

3%

Yes

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

$8k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

21%

April 30

Will Clavicular be Iran's next Supreme Leader by March 31st?

Will Clavicular be Iran's next Supreme Leader by March 31st?

$1.1m Vol.
$401k Liq.
47
Ends in about 9 hours

0%

Yes

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$28k Vol.
$15k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month

41%

April 30

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Geopolitics · World

Next leader out of power before 2027?

$3.4m Vol.
$352k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

60%

Orbán - Hungary PM

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

$58.0m Vol.
$2.7m Liq.
🔥$3.8m today
2
Ends in about 9 hours

0%

Yes

Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

$89.2m Vol.
$4.6m Liq.
🔥$6.2m today
32
Ends in 9 months

44%

December 31

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

$12.2m Vol.
$247k Liq.
🔥$185k today
10
Ends in 9 months

33%

Yes

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

$7.8m Vol.
$319k Liq.
🔥$370k today
158
Ends in 3 months

70%

June 30

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

$3k Vol.
$12k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months

69%

Not revealed in 2026

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

$9.2m Vol.
$363k Liq.
🔥$635k today
215
Ends in 1 day

44%

June 30

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

$88k Vol.
$12k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

33%

Yes

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

$413k Vol.
$34k Liq.
50
Ends in 3 months

85%

Yes

Military action against Iran ends on...?

Military action against Iran ends on...?

$25k Vol.
$126k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

64%

Military action through April 30

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$374k Vol.
$18k Liq.
62

17%

Isfahan nuclear facility

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain?

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain?

$115k Vol.
$10k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months

13%

Yes