US Iran Predictions & Odds· 146 markets
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?
$7.7m Vol.
$300k Liq.
🔥$312k today
154
Ends in 3 months
$7.7m Vol.🔥$312k today$300k Liq.154Ends in 3 months
66%
June 30
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
$4.9m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
🔥$294k today
Ends in 9 months
$4.9m Vol.🔥$294k today$1.2m Liq.Ends in 9 months
10%
December 31
US x Russia military clash by...?
$583k Vol.
$23k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months
$583k Vol.$23k Liq.14Ends in 9 months
10%
December 31, 2026
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?
$1.5m Vol.
$47k Liq.
🔥$53k today
Ends in about 18 hours
$1.5m Vol.🔥$53k today$47k Liq.Ends in about 18 hours
1%
Yes
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
$359k Vol.
$224k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$359k Vol.$224k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
59%
Pakistan
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
$120k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$120k Vol.$24k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
14%
Yes
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
$906k Vol.
$23k Liq.
24
Ends in 3 months
$906k Vol.$23k Liq.24Ends in 3 months
34%
Yes
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
$445k Vol.
$39k Liq.
28
Ends in 9 months
$445k Vol.$39k Liq.28Ends in 9 months
50%
Yes
US x Iran ceasefire by...?
$62.0m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
🔥$2.9m today
1,219
$62.0m Vol.🔥$2.9m today$1.4m Liq.1,219
74%
December 31
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
$1.0m Vol.
$60k Liq.
🔥$62k today
Ends in about 18 hours
$1.0m Vol.🔥$62k today$60k Liq.Ends in about 18 hours
75%
June 30
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?
$52k Vol.
$10k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
$52k Vol.$10k Liq.5Ends in 3 months
29%
Yes
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$60k Vol.
$14k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
$60k Vol.$14k Liq.5Ends in 3 months
53%
Yes
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$28k Vol.
$10k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$28k Vol.$10k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
33%
Leadership Change
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$96k Vol.
$45k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$96k Vol.$45k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
44%
US x Iran Ceasefire
US forces enter Iran by..?
$52.2m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
🔥$8.3m today
4,829
$52.2m Vol.🔥$8.3m today$1.4m Liq.4,829
78%
December 31
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
$466k Vol.
$86k Liq.
26
Ends in 9 months
$466k Vol.$86k Liq.26Ends in 9 months
15%
Yes
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by...?
$177k Vol.
$8k Liq.
89
Ends in about 1 month
$177k Vol.$8k Liq.89Ends in about 1 month
25%
April 30
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?
$351k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 18 hours
$351k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in about 18 hours
2%
Yes