Abraham Accords Predictions & Odds· 103 markets
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
$336k Vol.
$46k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$336k Vol.$46k Liq.Ends in 9 months
28%
Somaliland
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?
$203k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
$203k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
1%
Yes
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
$65k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$65k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 9 months
69%
Yes
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$96k Vol.
$47k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$96k Vol.$47k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
47%
US x Iran Ceasefire
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$12k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$12k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
44%
April 30
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$60k Vol.
$15k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
$60k Vol.$15k Liq.5Ends in 3 months
52%
Yes
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$28k Vol.
$12k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$28k Vol.$12k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
34%
Leadership Change
Iran military action against Israel on...?
$3k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$3k Vol.$39k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
88%
April 4
Iran military action against Israel on...?
$1.9m Vol.
$17k Liq.
🔥$369k today
1
Ends in about 14 hours
$1.9m Vol.🔥$369k today$17k Liq.1Ends in about 14 hours
97%
March 27
Military action against Iran ends on...?
$24k Vol.
$176k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$24k Vol.$176k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
63%
Military action through April 30
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?
$8.6m Vol.
$419k Liq.
🔥$297k today
323
Ends in about 14 hours
$8.6m Vol.🔥$297k today$419k Liq.323Ends in about 14 hours
78%
December 31
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
$906k Vol.
$22k Liq.
24
Ends in 3 months
$906k Vol.$22k Liq.24Ends in 3 months
34%
Yes
22%
June 30
Military action against Iran ends by...?
$27k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$27k Vol.$52k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
46%
April 25
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
$582k Vol.
$12k Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
$582k Vol.$12k Liq.37Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
Military action against Iran ends by...?
$247k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$247k Vol.$42k Liq.Ends in 3 months
79%
June 30
Iran military action against ___ by April 30?
$160k Vol.
$121k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$160k Vol.$121k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
98%
Kuwait
Israel false flag attack confirmed?
$1 Vol.
$141 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$1 Vol.$141 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
50%
Yes
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
$445k Vol.
$40k Liq.
28
Ends in 9 months
$445k Vol.$40k Liq.28Ends in 9 months
50%
Yes