Vote Counting Predictions & Odds· 102 markets
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?
$15k Vol.
$82k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
$15k Vol.$82k Liq.Ends in 4 months
68%
Yes
Will Trump nationalize elections?
$13k Vol.
$13k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$13k Vol.$13k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
$7k Vol.
$59k Liq.
Ends in 13 days
$7k Vol.$59k Liq.Ends in 13 days
25%
Keiko Fujimori <5%
Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory
$1.2m Vol.
$196k Liq.
14
Ends in 13 days
$1.2m Vol.$196k Liq.14Ends in 13 days
36%
Tisza 9%+
98%
Stratton 6–9%
Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory
$39k Vol.
$85k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
$39k Vol.$85k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
35%
Paxton 9%+
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
$206k Vol.
$86k Liq.
6
Ends in 6 months
$206k Vol.$86k Liq.6Ends in 6 months
40%
Lula da Silva <5%
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$12k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$12k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
44%
April 30
Bulgaria Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory
$13k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 20 days
$13k Vol.$31k Liq.Ends in 20 days
45%
PB 5-10%
Hungary Election: TISZA % of Popular Vote
$31k Vol.
$63k Liq.
1
Ends in 13 days
$31k Vol.$63k Liq.1Ends in 13 days
32%
50-54%
Hungary Election: Fidesz-KDNP % of popular vote
$31k Vol.
$56k Liq.
Ends in 13 days
$31k Vol.$56k Liq.Ends in 13 days
37%
40-44%
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
$28k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$28k Vol.$50k Liq.Ends in 7 months
46%
Other
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
$18k Vol.
$60k Liq.
16
Ends in 8 months
$18k Vol.$60k Liq.16Ends in 8 months
87%
Kuomintang (KMT)
Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?
$4k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$4k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes
Hungary Parliamentary Election: Popular Vote Winner
$160k Vol.
$49k Liq.
Ends in 13 days
$160k Vol.$49k Liq.Ends in 13 days
75%
Tisza
41%
JP
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
$0 Vol.
$7k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$7k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
82%
Yes
Turnout in 2026 Hungary Parliamentary Election
$84k Vol.
$55k Liq.
1
Ends in 13 days
$84k Vol.$55k Liq.1Ends in 13 days
47%
71–74%
Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won
$244k Vol.
$53k Liq.
6
Ends in 6 months
$244k Vol.$53k Liq.6Ends in 6 months
73%
PL
99%
Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS)